How hard is it to make the NBA? We asked three players to find out (2024)

The NBA is one of the most exclusive sports leagues in North America. With 30 teams and 450 players, the NBA employs about half the number of players the NHL, MLB and MLS do, and roughly one-quarter of the NFL’s total. It’s harder to get into than Studio 54 in the 1970s. In June, the league held its annual draft, welcoming in just 60 rookies. It was a sleek affair incorporating expensive suits, paparazzi and celebratory champagne, for those of-age. But those festivities were merely an endpoint to a much deeper story. To make the league requires lifelong effort and sweat-soaked sacrifice.

With the league’s 76th season set to begin on 19 October, it’s important to remember just how difficult it is to develop the skills to play in even a single NBA game. We caught up with three standouts – current collegiate star Zion Cruz, former Mississippi high school stalwart Brian Adams and two-time NBA champion Earl Cureton – to find out exactly how difficult the path is at different stages of a player’s journey.

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The New Jersey-born Cruz, a shooting guard who committed to DePaul University in February for the 2022-23 season, stands at 6ft 5in and boasts a top-10 ranking in his class at his position (per 247Sports.com). Yet, his path to college ball – usually (although not always) the final step before the NBA – has not been simple, despite his physical gifts and significant acclaim.

“The work just got harder and harder,” Cruz says. “The long days at the gym sweating wasn’t easy when I first started, but I just committed myself and the growth is outstanding.”

Cruz, who is the first top recruit to head to DePaul in years, says that seeing his parents get up for work every day to provide for the family was his motivation. And he began to think about playing professionally in earnest when he started seeing friends jump to the NBA. But to make it to where scouts and coaches pay attention is tough. Instead, Cruz says, it’s about standing out to yourself, and the rest will come. “If you worry about impressing yourself,” he says, “the scouts will see.”

For Cruz, whose road to collegiate hoops has involved ups and downs, including committing and decommitting from schools, maintaining poise can be hard, especially with the full-time job of practice and playing games. It’s about staying focused, blocking out the noise that surrounds his talents. Cruz says he also cares about building and strengthening his character, a lesson he learned from some Chicago Bulls who visited with him and offered advice. In the end, if he doesn’t make the NBA (or if it takes years), Cruz says he won’t lose sight of the goal. “I love basketball,” he says, “it would just be another part of my journey.”

But while he’s probably headed to a professional roster at some point, others have not been so fortunate, even those with sparkling basketball resumes. In Mississippi, as a high school player in the mid-90s, Adams was a well-known name. He was a top-20 recruit the same year as future pros Kobe Bryant, Mike Bibby, Jermaine O’Neal, Tim Thomas and Steven Jackson. But when Adams committed to Alcorn State, a historically Black college, he says things went sideways. In 1995, prior to his commitment, quarterback Steve McNair was drafted No 3 overall out of Alcorn State by the NFL’s Tennessee Titans. Adams believed this was the blueprint he should follow.

“A lot of people were pissed,” Adams says of his decision to choose Alcorn State over a more mainstream school like Kansas or Kentucky. “Doing that at the time, it was unheard of. I would say a lot of things changed when I made that decision. I didn’t make the McDonald’s game, nor was I Mr Basketball in the state of Mississippi. It’s like, c’mon man, I think I was head-and-shoulders above anybody in my class.”

Adams, who fell in love with the game at six, shooting hoops on a converted bicycle wheel with no backboard or net, attended the major recruitment camps as well as the well-regarded Piney Woods High School in Mississippi, winning state titles. But once he went to college, his career stalled. Adams averaged about 11 points per game his first two seasons, despite not playing for the coach who’d originally recruited him, but then his scoring dropped. He broke his foot going into his junior year in 1999, the season Alcorn State made the NCAA tournament. He averaged just three points that year, and eight the next.

Today, Adams is a coach, helping kids in Texas learn the game. He works with former NBA star Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf, who himself has his own tumultuous relationship with the league. Adams knows how hard it can be to sustain a sports career, saying, “You got to have the right people around you … You got to make sure you make the right decisions … One thing, playing on that level, you’ve got to have luck on your side… [Mine] could have been a sad story but by the grace of God, it wasn’t.”

But even if a player does make the NBA, the journey doesn’t end there. And that was especially true during a time when guaranteed contracts were harder to secure than an eel in an oil slick. Cureton, who was drafted at No 58 overall in 1979 by the Philadelphia 76ers, was a standout at Robert Morris University and then at the University of Detroit, recruited by then-coach Dick Vitale. Later, Cureton would go on to win two NBA championships, in 1983 with the 76ers and 1994 with the Houston Rockets. Seemingly, though, every season of his 12-year career included hurdles that threatened his livelihood. So much so that he had to sometimes go overseas.

“I was a journeyman,” Cureton says. “My first three years, I had non-guaranteed contracts. Every year in Philly, I had to make the roster.”

During his career, Cureton played with Dr J, Moses Malone, Jordan and Isiah Thomas, among others. He knew how to fit in and make teams better. He rebounded, defended. He also dealt with the league policy of the Right of First Refusal, which stated that when a player’s contract was up, his old team still maintained his rights, even if the team didn’t want to re-sign him. They could ask for whatever compensation they wanted from a team interested in signing the player. It was a convoluted practice that almost derailed Cureton’s career.

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“It was a lot of mental stress,” he says. “The team had the right to ask for whatever they wanted. I was never a fan of that rule. I had to leave the country to get away from it.”

Cureton played in Italy, France, Argentina, Mexico and other locales to sharpen his game. He returned to North America to get chances with the Pistons, Hornets, Rockets and the expansion Raptors. In early seasons he earned $55,000 or $65,000 per year, compared to the 2022-23 league rookie minimum of about $1m. “It was about survival,” he says. “When I came into the league there were only 24 teams and something like 270 players. That’s an elite group.” His salary rose as time went on and Cureton earned around $2m over the course of his career, good money but certainly not enough to retire on. He now works as a team ambassador for the Pistons.

Along with Cruz, Adams and Cureton, there is a litany of talented players whose paths to the league have been fraught or ended in disappointment. In 1994, the now-infamous basketball documentary Hoop Dreams hit theaters, depicting just how difficult it can be for young, often inner-city-born players to make the NBA. The leads of the movie, Arthur Agee and William Gates, both from Chicago, go through school changes, injuries and serious bouts of doubt, ultimately not making the professional ranks.

Even big-name players who did make the league had to endure a lot. Small guards Muggsy Bogues and Spud Webb in the late 80s and early 90s were perennially thought of as incapable of making a big impact. Despite this, Webb won the NBA’s dunk contest at the 1986 All-Star game and Bogues went on to earn fame for his role with the Hornets, averaging 10.8 points and 10.1 assists per game in the 1993-94 season. A former teammate of both Webb and Bogues, 7ft 7in Manute Bol, who died in 2010, traveled from Sudan, traversing deserts and oceans to make the league. The list goes on.

NBA champion and seven-time All-Star Kyrie Irving recently shared his thoughts on Twitter about being a young, aspiring hooper pondering his chances of one day making the league. “My Dad told me at a young age, I had a 1 in 3,333 percent chance (.03%) of making it to the NBA and that I should have backup plans for my life regardless if it happened or not,” he wrote. “I am grateful he told me the truth because with or without basketball, I know myself.”

Indeed, it’s a nearly impossible task to earn a spot in the NBA, even for the supremely talented. A large section of the league’s draft picks don’t last. But if somehow one can stick around and enjoy a long, illustrious career, as Cureton notes, “That’s a serious accomplishment.”

How hard is it to make the NBA? We asked three players to find out (2024)

FAQs

What are the odds of making it to the NBA? ›

According to NCAA statistics, only about 1.2% of all college men's basketball players end up getting drafted by an NBA team.

Is it hard to make it to the NBA? ›

Becoming a professional NBA player is a difficult task, but not impossible. NBA players make millions of dollars per year and are on the top of their field, so it's no wonder that this is the dream of many children around the world. To make it as an NBA player, you need to start by developing your skills.

How to get scouted for the NBA? ›

Getting in front of talent scouts from major universities (if you are in high school) and NBA teams (if you are in college) are key to advancing in your basketball career. Attend as many tournaments as possible, as these are places important coaches and influencers go to see and select the next generation of players.

What is the hardest sport to go pro in? ›

Boxing/Mixed Martial Arts – These combat sports require a high level of skill, physical conditioning, and the ability to succeed in a highly competitive and physically demanding environment.

What are the requirements to join the NBA? ›

The basic rules that started in the 2006 draft are:
  • All drafted players must be at least 19 years old during the calendar year of the draft.
  • Any player who is not an "international player", as defined in the CBA, must be at least one year removed from the graduation of his high school class.

What is the average age to make the NBA? ›

Facts from 2023-24 Opening Day rosters are here. The annual look is filled with information, including this season's average height (6-foot-6.5-inches), weight (215.3 pounds) and age (26.03 years old) of an NBA player. See below for all of the topics covered in the 2023-24 NBA Roster Survey.

What do NBA scouts look for? ›

The most basic projections which a scout must make include the player's physical status such as height, weight, age, position, and conditioning. The scout will also the study the player's skillset including: shooting and scoring capabilities, ball handling, defensive capabilities, and passing abilities.

How many kids make it to the NBA? ›

According to the estimations, only 0.02 to 0.03 percent of high school players end up playing in the NBA or WNBA. Think about that number. That means out of every 10,000 high school players, only two or three will ever get the chance to play professional basketball!

Who is the youngest NBA player? ›

The youngest active player in the NBA is Memphis Grizzlies forward GG Jackson, the 45th overall pick in the 2023 NBA draft, who was born on December 17, 2004. LeBron James is currently the oldest active NBA player in the league.

Can a regular person join the NBA? ›

If you meet some basic eligibility requirements, you can enter the draft. You may be the longest of long shots to actually get into the NBA, but almost anyone can apply for the chance to play ball.

Can you tryout for a NBA team? ›

Before each season, NBA G League teams hold open tryouts, searching for local talent to add to their rosters.

How many 7 footers are in the NBA? ›

By Jocelyn Alano November 19, 2023 05:43 GMT+4 min read. The NBA has seen a rise in the number of players standing at 7 feet tall. According to recent data, there are currently around 40 players in the NBA who are 7 feet or taller. This represents a significant increase compared to previous decades.

What's the easiest sport to go pro in? ›

While it's subjective and depends on individual skills and preferences, some people might consider golf or bowling to be relatively easier professional sports to play compared to others. Both sports require technique and skill, but they may be less physically demanding than sports like football or basketball.

Who is the tallest NBA player ever? ›

This is a list of the tallest players in National Basketball Association history. It is currently topped by the 7-foot-7-inch (2.31 m) Romanian Gheorghe Mureșan, taken by the Washington Bullets as the number 30 overall pick in the 1993 NBA draft.

What are the odds of going to the NBA at 7 feet? ›

But if you hit the genetic lottery and happen to be 7 feet tall, your chances of landing in the N.B.A. are roughly one in six. (There are 38 players on active rosters who are 7 feet or taller, according to N.B.A. Advanced Stats; the average height of an N.B.A. player is 6 feet 6.5 inches.)

How tall was the shortest NBA player ever? ›

Muggsy Bogues is the shortest NBA player ever at 5′ 3′'. He had a successful career, even if he never won any accolades.

What are NBA odds? ›

NBA odds guide

The most common odds you'll see in the NBA are with the point spread. Bucks -4. Lakers +4. In that example, the Bucks are the 4-point favorites, and have to win by 5 or more points to win the bet. If the Bucks win by exactly 4 points, it's a “push” and the bet is refunded.

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