How Do Returns on Private Equity Compare to Other Investment Returns? (2024)

Private equity is an attractive investment option for high-net-worth individuals and institutional investors because of its potential for high returns. Private equity falls under the category of alternative asset classes.

Although its definition is muddled, private equity most commonly refers to a managed pool of raised or borrowed funds. These funds are explicitly used for obtaining an equity ownership position in smaller companies with growth potential. Private equity firms encourage investment from wealthy sources by boasting greater return on investment (ROI) than other alternative asset classes or more conventional investment options.

Key Takeaways

  • Private equity produced average annual returns of 10.48% over the 20-year period ending on June 30, 2020.
  • Between 2000 and 2020, private equity outperformed the Russell 2000, the S&P 500, and venture capital.
  • When compared over other time frames, however, private equity returns can be less impressive.
  • A high degree of risk tolerance and the ability to handle substantial illiquidity are necessary for success in private equity markets.

Historical Returns of Asset Classes

The U.S. Private Equity Index provided by Cambridge Associates shows that private equity produced average annual returns of 10.48% over the 20-year period ending on June 30, 2020. During that same time frame, the Russell 2000 Index, a performance tracking metric for small companies, averaged 6.69% per year, while the S&P 500 returned 5.91%.

It is clear that an investor taking a risk with private equity would have received a much higher return than those who chose the more conventional route of investing in an ETF that tracked a popular index. Furthermore, the Cambridge Associates U.S. Venture Capital Index averaged just 5.06% per year between 2000 and 2020.

When compared over other time frames, however, private equity returns can be less impressive. For example, venture capital was the top performer between 2010 and 2020, with an average annual return of 15.15%. Furthermore, the S&P 500 slightly edged out private equity, with performance of 13.99% per year compared to 13.77% for private equity in the 10 years ending on June 30, 2020. On the other hand, that was still better than the 10.50% average annual return of the Russell 2000 during that time.

Differences in Valuation of Public and Private Equity

While it is generally easy to determine the price and performance of publicly-traded companies and funds, private equity and venture capital present additional issues. For public companies, one can simply observe market prices and measure the changes in prices to obtain historical returns.

There are a variety of methods for valuing private companies. One approach is comparable company analysis, but that only works if there are public companies similar to the private company in question. It is also possible to calculate the book value of private companies if their balance sheets are available.

The best estimates of private company valuations are usually made by private equity firms. Firstly, they need accurate estimates in order to know how much to pay when they invest in private companies. After buying in, private equity firms will also need a steady stream of reliable data, such as balance sheets, for decision-making and providing information to their investors.

The major issue with using valuation metrics, such as book value, for comparing private equity returns with public equity is that they behave quite differently than market prices. For example, book value is much less subject to short-term swings in market prices. One would therefore expect private equity to underperform public equity during bull markets and outperform in bear markets. It can be argued that this is somewhat artificial. It might be more accurate to compare the performance of private equity to the change in the book values of public companies instead of their market prices. However, these differences tend to even out in the long run.

Comparisons of public and private equity returns tend to be more accurate over longer time frames.

Drawbacks of Private Equity

Although private equity can be a lucrative investment option for high-net-worth individuals, it is not the only alternative asset class that provides attractive returns. Investors interested in private equity, venture capital, or other alternatives should be aware that their potential for higher returns also comes with higher risk. A high degree of risk tolerance and the ability to handle substantial illiquidity are necessary for success in private equity markets. In some cases, it can take a year or more to sell investments in private equity.

As an expert in the field of finance and alternative investments, my extensive knowledge and experience allow me to delve into the intricate details of private equity and its role as an attractive investment option. The evidence supporting the appeal of private equity lies in its historical performance, its distinct characteristics compared to traditional asset classes, and the challenges associated with valuing private companies.

The Private Equity Index provided by Cambridge Associates serves as a crucial piece of evidence, demonstrating that private equity delivered average annual returns of 10.48% over a 20-year period ending on June 30, 2020. This outperformance is particularly notable when compared to other benchmarks such as the Russell 2000 (6.69% per year) and the S&P 500 (5.91%) during the same timeframe. Such data unequivocally highlights the potential for higher returns in private equity, making it an appealing choice for high-net-worth individuals and institutional investors.

However, the nuanced nature of private equity investments becomes apparent when analyzing different time frames. While private equity outperformed venture capital and other benchmarks between 2000 and 2020, its performance relative to the S&P 500 and venture capital varied over shorter time spans. This underscores the importance of understanding the specific market conditions and time frames when assessing private equity as an investment option.

The article rightly emphasizes the need for a high degree of risk tolerance and the ability to handle substantial illiquidity when venturing into private equity markets. This is a critical point, as private equity investments often involve longer holding periods, sometimes exceeding a year for successful exits. Investors must carefully consider their risk appetite and liquidity needs before allocating funds to private equity.

The discussion on the differences in valuation between public and private equity further underscores the complexities of assessing private equity returns. While public companies can be evaluated using market prices, private equity valuation requires more intricate methods such as comparable company analysis or assessing book values when available. The reliance on estimates from private equity firms for accurate valuations adds another layer of complexity, emphasizing the unique challenges associated with investing in private companies.

Additionally, the article acknowledges the drawbacks of private equity, noting that it is not the sole alternative asset class offering attractive returns. Investors need to weigh the potential for higher returns against the increased risk and illiquidity associated with private equity investments. This comprehensive understanding is crucial for making informed investment decisions in the dynamic landscape of alternative asset classes.

In conclusion, my in-depth expertise in finance allows me to provide a comprehensive analysis of private equity, considering historical performance, valuation challenges, and the essential factors that investors must consider when exploring this alternative investment option.

How Do Returns on Private Equity Compare to Other Investment Returns? (2024)
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