How a gamer caused a trillion-dollar stock market crash (2024)

Navinder Sarao didn’t seem like the international criminal mastermind type.

He lived with his parents, wore a choppy bowl cut and, instead of three-piece suits, he favored laddish track pants. He pedaled a bike around his suburban London neighborhood and would show up to important meetings munching on a McDonald’s Filet-O-Fish.

But in 2015, the online futures trader — who’d earned tens of millions of dollars from his bedroom — was arrested and accused of contributing to a troubling 2010 market crash that momentarily wiped out trillions of dollars.

“Nav was an irresistible character, and his was a really enticing human story,” says Liam Vaughan, a business journalist and author of the recent book “Flash Crash: A Trading Savant, a Global Manhunt, and the Most Mysterious Market Crash in History” (Doubleday).

“I was just shocked at every turn,” he adds.

Certainly, Sarao’s path to riches was unusual.

He lived in a modest West London suburb, the son of immigrants. Even as a young boy, he had a photographic memory and was a whiz with numbers.

In 1998, while attending Brunel University London, Sarao noticed that one of his housemates always had money. When he asked how, the classmate replied: “Trading.”

Soon, Sarao was reading everything he could find on financial theory and the markets.

Two years out of school, he landed a job at a low-rent financial firm, located above a supermarket, that basically rented desks to wannabe traders and took a cut of their profits.

Sarao quickly distinguished himself from the other recruits, not just in the slangy way he talked — like the Sacha Baron Cohen character Ali G — and dressed, but in his almost robotic focus.

“For eight hours a day he sat at a lone desk . . . his face inches from his screens, in what appeared to be a catatonic state,” Vaughan writes. “To block out the world, he wore a pair of red, heavy-duty ear [plugs] of the type favored by road workers. He didn’t communicate with anyone.”

A few years after he joined the office, Sarao was regularly pulling down $25,000 on a good day.

He’d eventually outgrow the firm and strike out on his own, working from his childhood bedroom in his parents’ house. There, he’d start earning tens of millions trading “e-mini” futures, a contract that tracks the S&P 500.

Despite his wealth, however, Sarao didn’t live lavishly. His only big purchase was a secondhand Volkswagen Golf.

“I think that he was a gamer and, for him, markets were honestly the ultimate form of game,” Vaughan says.

Sarao was more concerned with the rise of high-frequency trading, a method of buying and selling that used powerful computers and algorithms to execute trades in fractions of seconds. The speed allowed (mostly) large, monied firms to beat others to a trade, thereby securing a better price.

Sarao bristled at the unfairness.

He began engaging in what is known as “spoofing.” He hired software developers to write programs that would allow him to place millions of dollars worth of orders, then — after other traders had reacted to his potential trade — abruptly cancel his order.

The deception allowed Sarao to nudge the market higher or lower and reap the benefits.

His trading habits eventually drew scrutiny from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, earning him cautionary letters. Sarao, however, phoned the authorities and told them to “kiss my ass.”

Then on May 6, 2010, Sarao logged on from his bedroom and began furiously trading, attempting to capitalize on the volatility still roiling the markets after the 2008 crisis. In the final two hours before he logged off at 7:40 p.m. London time, the trader had bought and sold 62,077 e-mini contracts — with a combined value of $3.4 billion.

A minute later, markets tumbled with a “velocity and intensity it never had before,” Vaughan writes.

The drop quickly rippled into other financial markets in the United States but also around the world. The S&P shed 5 percent of its value in just four minutes. Procter & Gamble, General Electric and other blue chips dropped 10 percent or more. The Dow lost 9 percent in a few minutes and most other indices took a historic hit before rebounding around a half-hour later.

Sarao was later arrested and extradited to the United States, only the second person ever charged with spoofing. It’s unclear how much his actions contributed to America’s so-called “flash crash.” The US government contends that he was partially responsible, while some financial experts disagree, seeing him as a Robin Hood whose actions only hurt wealthy companies.

Vaughan says Sarao’s motivation had little to do with money, and refers again to it being like a game for him: “He really just saw the dollar signs that were rising in his trading account as points. He liked that he was getting one over on his opponents.”

Sarao, now 41, ultimately cooperated with the authorities and all but two charges against him were dropped. In January, he was sentenced to one year of house arrest.

“I think justice was done because the message was out there that someone shouldn’t be thinking about doing what Nav was doing,” the author says.

Others have since been arrested for similar crimes, but the financial world is hardly free of manipulation.

“On Wall Street, innovation never stops,” Vaughan says. “The cheating has just become more sophisticated.”

How a gamer caused a trillion-dollar stock market crash (2024)

FAQs

What triggered the stock market crash? ›

Among the more prominent causes were the period of rampant speculation (those who had bought stocks on margin not only lost the value of their investment, they also owed money to the entities that had granted the loans for the stock purchases), tightening of credit by the Federal Reserve (in August 1929 the discount ...

What caused the flash crash of May 6 2010? ›

There were rumours that Citigroup had accidentally sold a large basket of European stocks over the market. Later in the afternoon Nasdaq confirmed that the flash crash was due to a very large accidental sell order by a market participant, a so-called fat-finger error.

What caused the stock market to crash on October 24 1929? ›

There were many causes of the 1929 stock market crash, some of which included overinflated shares, growing bank loans, agricultural overproduction, panic selling, stocks purchased on margin, higher interest rates, and a negative media industry.

Did HFT cause the flash crash? ›

In May 2014, a CFTC report concluded that high-frequency traders "did not cause the Flash Crash, but contributed to it by demanding immediacy ahead of other market participants". Some recent peer-reviewed research shows that flash crashes are not isolated occurrences, but have occurred quite often.

Can I lose my 401k if the market crashes? ›

The odds are the value of your retirement savings may decline if the market crashes. While this doesn't mean you should never invest, you should be patient with the market and make long-term decisions that can withstand time and market fluctuation.

Which luxury stocks lose $30 billion in one day on demand fears? ›

The Hermes International luxury clothing boutique in Paris, France. A blistering rally in luxury goods stocks this year powered by international demand particularly from China has taken a hit, wiping out more than $30 billion from the sector on Tuesday.

Can a flash crash happen again? ›

A flash crash will happen again

Despite the measures, the next flash crash occurred five years later.

Who was the guy who crashed the stock market? ›

The name Navinder Singh Sarao resonates with both intrigue and controversy in the world of finance. Born in the UK, Sarao was catapulted into the global spotlight in 2015 when he was arrested for his alleged role in the 2010 'Flash Crash', an event that sent shockwaves through the financial markets.

What is the fat-finger error? ›

In the context of financial markets such as the stock market or foreign exchange market, a fat-finger error is an instance where an order to buy or sell is placed of far greater size than intended, for the wrong stock or contract, at the wrong price, or with any number of other input errors.

What day is Black Thursday? ›

Black Thursday, Thursday, October 24, 1929, the first day of the stock market crash of 1929, a catastrophic decline in the stock market of the United States that immediately preceded the worldwide Great Depression. That stock market crash (also called the Great Crash) is still considered the worst one in history.

How bad was Black Thursday? ›

Around $14 billion of stock value was lost, wiping out thousands of investors. The panic selling reached its peak with some stocks having no buyers at any price. The Dow lost an additional 30.57 points, or 11.73%, for a total drop of 68.90 points, or 23.05% in two days.

How did Black Thursday end? ›

J.P. Morgan and a few other banks bought stocks to restore confidence in the markets. 3 The intervention seemed to work. The Dow recovered a bit, closing 2% down at 299.47. On Friday, the Dow closed higher at 301.22.

Is high-frequency trading Legal? ›

Since all quote and volume information is public, such strategies are fully compliant with all the applicable laws. Filter trading is one of the more primitive high-frequency trading strategies that involves monitoring large amounts of stocks for significant or unusual price changes or volume activity.

What is spoofing stocks? ›

June 2021) Spoofing is a disruptive algorithmic trading activity employed by traders to outpace other market participants and to manipulate markets. Spoofers feign interest in trading futures, stocks, and other products in financial markets creating an illusion of the demand and supply of the traded asset.

Who made money in flash crash? ›

Navinder Singh Sarao had already been found guilty of contributing to the 2010 “flash crash.” Despite making $70 million trading out of his bedroom, Sarao reportedly has no money left. Lawyers argued that Sarao viewed markets as a “sophisticated video game.”

What caused the stock market to crash in 2008? ›

Predatory lending in the form of subprime mortgages targeting low-income homebuyers, excessive risk-taking by global financial institutions, a continuous buildup of toxic assets within banks, and the bursting of the United States housing bubble culminated in a "perfect storm", which led to the Great Recession.

Do you lose all your money if the stock market crashes? ›

When the stock market declines, the market value of your stock investment can decline as well. However, because you still own your shares (if you didn't sell them), that value can move back into positive territory when the market changes direction and heads back up. So, you may lose value, but that can be temporary.

What could have prevented the stock market crash of 1929? ›

How could the Stock Market Crash of 1929 been prevented? Had the Federal Reserve and other governing bodies established a separation of banks and investment firms, the stock market would likely not have become saturated, especially with borrowed money.

What caused the Great Depression of 1929? ›

Among the suggested causes of the Great Depression are: the stock market crash of 1929; the collapse of world trade due to the Smoot-Hawley Tariff; government policies; bank failures and panics; and the collapse of the money supply. In this video, Great Depression expert David Wheelock of the St.

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