Homeowners worried about paying down debt as interest rates go up | CBC News (2024)

Business·Debt Nation

Many Canadian homeowners are worried about rising interest rates and how they will impact their budget, a new CBC Research survey finds.

Younger homeowners have never experienced a significant rise in interest rates

Homeowners worried about paying down debt as interest rates go up | CBC News (1)

Sophia Harris · CBC News

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Homeowners worried about paying down debt as interest rates go up | CBC News (2)

This story is part of a series we're calling Debt Nation, looking at the state of consumer debt in Canada. Look for more coverage in the coming days, including on car loans, mortgages and credit card debt.

Many Canadian homeownersare worried about rising interest rates and how theywill impact theirbudget, a newCBC Research survey finds.

Thanks to years of access to cheap money, household debt has ballooned in Canada.Now that interest rates are rising, there are mounting concerns over how people will continue to pay down mountains of debt.

Out of 1,000 Canadian homeowners surveyed online between Oct. 5 and 11, almost three-quarters of those with debt on their home— mainlymortgages— confessed they're worriedabout rate hikes.

It won't take much for most of them to feel the pinch: 58 per centof respondents saidanincrease of more than $100 intheir monthly debt payments would force them to change their spending habits to make ends meet.

Certified financial planner Shannon Lee Simmons says many people who come to her for help are in a similar predicament.

"I see that on a daily basis from clients who make relatively normal living wages, but everything is just budgeted to the dollar," she said.

"If you were to ask them, 'Can you save $100 bucks a month?' they might fail at that."

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Simmons says part of the problem is some homeowners have never experienced a significant rise in interest rates.

"If you're 40 right now and you bought your house at 30, you've pretty much had a decade of relatively low [rates] and that's all you've experienced."

Homeowners worried about paying down debt as interest rates go up | CBC News (4)

Indeed, a 40-year-old would have been a toddler in 1981 when Canadian banks'prime lending rateshot up above 20 per cent. Conversely, since 2009, ithas ranged between 3.70 and 5.75 per cent. Banks use the prime rate as a base to set their lending rates.

Failing to budget for heftier mortgage payments could lead to even more hardships, such as homeowners digging into their savings or turning to credit cards to make ends meet.

"It leaves it rife for credit card debt," said Simmons, founder of The New School of Finance, a financial planning firm in Toronto.

Not concerned —yet

The CBC survey findings come at a time when the Bank of Canada has already hiked the key interestrate four times since July 2017, from .50 to 1.50 per cent. The key rate influences the rate that banks charge for consumer loans and mortgages.

Manyhomeowners likely haven'tyet felt the full effects of the ratehikesbecause they're still locked into afixed mortgage, the most common typeinCanada.

When their mortgage isup for renewal, "they might be in for a bit of a shock," Simmons said.

The market expects another rate hike on Oct. 24, and some economists predict three rate hikes in 2019.

Meanwhile, the amount of debt Canadian households owe has been on the rise for about three decades, totallingjust over $2 trillion in August. Mortgages make up close to three quarters of that debt.

For years, the Bank of Canada has expressed concern over rising householddebt levels.In 2011, Federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty tried to temper borrowing habits with tighter mortgage rules.

They included lowering the maximum amortization period and requiring borrowers to qualify for a five-year, fixed-rate mortgage, even if they chose a variable mortgagewith a lower rate.

But interest rates remained low and Canadians continued to pile on debt.

Homeowners worried about paying down debt as interest rates go up | CBC News (6)

Read more stories in the series:

  • Long-term loans are the fuel powering Canadian car sales
  • Bank ofCanada raises interest rate and hints at more hikes to come

​COMING FRIDAY:

  • CBC business columnist DonPittison why credit card debt canbe a dangerous trap

Wrong answer

According to credit agency TransUnion, Canadians owed an average $260,547 in mortgage debt in the second quarter of 2018 —a 4.76 per cent jump compared to the same period in 2017.

In the CBC survey, 36 per cent of respondents said they had no debt on their home. Forty-two per cent said they owed between $50,000 and just under $400,000 when combining both a mortgage and lines of credit.

Most respondents said they are very or somewhat comfortable with their current monthly payments.

However, as the survey shows, for many, that level of comfort diminishes when faced with the prospect of higher rates.

  • Opinion5 tips for renewing your mortgage
  • Poloz says Canadian household debt of $2T demands cautious approach on rate hikes

And the impact couldbe more severe than some people think: When presented with a couple mortgage scenarios, less than a quarter of respondents were able to correctly estimate the added cost of a two per cent interest rate hike.

Take, for example, a $400,000 mortgage with a 20-yearamortization and a fixed five-year rate of 3.3 per cent. With just a two per cent rate increase, monthly payments would go up by about $400 a month.

  • How to score the best mortgage and wipe out that debt

Simmons says many people find making the calculations daunting, but that homeowners need to understand the true cost of rising rates.

"Everyone is aware they're going up, I just think that people aren't necessarily prepared for how that impacts their daily life."

It's important to note that even with a projected rise in interest rates in 2019, they'llstill be relatively low compared to previous decades.

The Bank of Canada raises the country's key interest rate to keep inflation in check, but governor Stephen Polozsaid in May that the bank will make rate decisions cautiously, considering the amount of debt households are still carrying.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Homeowners worried about paying down debt as interest rates go up | CBC News (7)

Sophia Harris

Business reporter

Based in Toronto, Sophia Harris covers consumer and business for CBC News web, radio and TV. She previously worked as a CBC videojournalist in the Maritimes where she won an Atlantic Journalism Award for her work. Contact: sophia.harris@cbc.ca

Corrections and clarifications|Submit a news tip|

Related Stories

  • Opinion 5 tips for renewing your mortgage
  • Poloz says Canadian household debt of $2T demands cautious approach on rate hikes
  • Get debt under control before interest rates increase, expert advises
  • How to score the best mortgage and wipe out that debt
Homeowners worried about paying down debt as interest rates go up | CBC News (2024)

FAQs

Homeowners worried about paying down debt as interest rates go up | CBC News? ›

Now that interest rates are rising, there are mounting concerns over how people will continue to pay down mountains of debt. Out of 1,000 Canadian homeowners surveyed online between Oct. 5 and 11, almost three-quarters of those with debt on their home — mainly mortgages — confessed they're worried about rate hikes.

How does interest rate affect household debt? ›

On the other hand, higher interest rates may cause lower income growth and weaker debtor cash flows to finance repayment. The latter will in turn pull household indebtedness up.

How rising interest rates affect mortgage payments? ›

When interest rates rise, more of each payment automatically goes toward interest costs. You could end up in a situation where none of your payment goes toward paying down the principal. Instead of paying down your mortgage, the total amount you owe on your mortgage will increase.

Will mortgage interest rates ever go down again? ›

(NerdWallet) – Mortgage rates are expected to go down sometime in 2024, but the decline probably won't start in March. Instead, mortgage rates are likely to remain about the same because the economy hasn't cooled off enough yet to cause them to fall.

Is it bad if mortgage rates go up? ›

It may mean people who put off moving due to higher mortgage rates are deciding to sell their homes and purchase another home, even with higher financing costs.” Nevertheless, the pace of existing home sales is 3.3% lower than at the same point in 2023.

What happens to debt funds when interest rates rise? ›

The impact of interest rate changes on debt funds can be seen in the performance of various categories of debt funds. For example, in a rising interest rate environment, long-duration debt funds are likely to experience a decline in NAV due to the decline in the prices of the bonds held in the portfolio.

What interest rate is considered high-interest debt? ›

There isn't one firm definition of high-interest debt, but it's generally seen as debt that has an interest rate of 8% or higher.

Will interest rates go down in 2024? ›

While it's difficult to predict how interest rates will change, in December 2023, the Fed predicted it would lower the federal funds rate to 4.6% by the end of 2024. Because its the rate banks charge each other to borrow money, the fed funds rate directly impacts the rate consumers pay.

What is a good interest rate on a house? ›

As of Apr. 19, 2024, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.50%, 20-year fixed mortgage rate is 7.39%, 15-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.89%, and 10-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.79%. Average rates for other loan types include 7.31% for an FHA 30-year fixed mortgage and 7.20% for a jumbo 30-year fixed mortgage.

Why did my mortgage go up if I have a fixed rate? ›

The part of your fixed-rate mortgage payment that changes annually is your escrow. Each year, the financial institution that holds your mortgage estimates how much you'll pay in property taxes and home insurance. If your home value has risen since the prior year, the cost of your taxes and insurance will also increase.

Will mortgage rates ever drop below 5 again? ›

Mortgage rates are expected to decline later this year as the U.S. economy weakens, inflation slows and the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid- to low-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by early 2025.

Is it better to buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

Even with interest rates as high as they are, it's still a great time to buy a house. The higher interest rates have priced some buyers out of the market, which means you could face less competition when you make offers.

What is the interest rate outlook for 2024? ›

While McBride had expected mortgage rates to fall to 5.75 percent by late 2024, the new economic reality means they're likely to hover in the range of 6.25 percent to 6.4 percent by the end of the year, he says.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3 again? ›

It's possible that rates will one day go back down to 3%, though if current trends hold that's not likely to happen anytime soon.

Will 2024 be a good year to buy a house? ›

The combination of high mortgage rates, steep home prices and low inventory levels are lining up to make the 2024 housing market a challenging one for both buyers and sellers. But rates have cooled a bit — if that continues throughout the year, as some experts predict, then market activity should heat up in response.

Who benefits from rising interest rates? ›

The financial sector generally experiences increased profitability during periods of high-interest rates. This is primarily because banks and financial institutions earn more from the spread between the interest they pay on deposits and the interest they charge on loans.

What is the relationship between interest rates and debt? ›

level of the interest rate is determined by the level of the capital stock and thus by the level of government debt. The change in the interest rate is affected by the government budget deficit, which is essentially equal to the change in government debt.

What is the relationship between interest rates and the cost of debt? ›

The interest rate, or yield, demanded by creditors is the cost of debt—it is demanded to account for the time value of money (TVM), inflation, and the risk that the loan will not be repaid. It also involves the opportunity costs associated with the money used for the loan not being put to use elsewhere.

Does interest rate affect cost of debt? ›

The cost of debt is generally equated with the interest rate on debt capital. However, due to the company-specific default risk, the cost of debt, relevant for company valuation, is always lower than the corresponding interest rate.

How does interest rate affect borrowing? ›

What effect do higher interest rates have on borrowing? Higher interest rates essentially mean that your borrowing power will reduce. A higher interest rate increases the cost of repayments for you and lenders want to ensure that they are lending to those who can handle higher rates.

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