Here's What It Will Take to Feed 10 Billion People by 2050 (2024)

Why Global Citizens Should Care

The global population is expected to rise to nearly 10 billion people by 2050, and global food demand could rise by 56% during that period. Unless drastic changes are made to how food is produced, then world hunger and climate change will both get worse. You can join us in taking action on these issues here.

Countries need to produce more food on less land in the years ahead, otherwise world hunger and the climate crisis will continue to get worse.

That’s the succinctyet staggeringly complex conclusion of a new report by the World Resources Institute, the World Bank, and the United Nations.

Reforming the global food system requires overhauling how food is produced, managed, and consumed. The report explores three main gaps that the world has to overcome on its way toward a better food system — the food gap, the land use gap, and the greenhouse gas emissions gap — that all boil down to sustainability.

By 2050, the global population will reach nearly 10 billion people and global food demand will soar by 56%. If food trends continue unchanged, 593 million additional hectares of land, equivalent in size to two Indias, would have to be cleared and converted to crop and livestock production to feed this many people. But the report warns that no more land can be set aside for food production — the earth simply can’t withstand further degradation.

Instead, huge swaths of land currently being used to generate food have to be returned to their wild state to protect the planet from irreversible decline.

“The challenge is bigger than is commonly appreciated,” Richard Waite, associate at World Resources Institute’s Food Program, told Global Citizen. “That said, there is a path towards solving it, but it will require the world to do some of everything.

“There’s 30 more planting seasons between now and the year 2050,” he said. “We don’t have much time to close those gaps.”

Read More: 7 Staggering Facts From the UN's New Report on Hunger

The report describes 22 solutions for achieving a more sustainable food system that fall into five broad categories.

The first set of solutions addresses the question of how to feed more people while reducing the overall demand for food, a seemingly contradictory goal. In recent years, demand for resource-intensive foods such as red meat has grown beyond the level of the planet to sustainably provide these foods. More broadly, the world is depleting the earth’s resources at a rate that outstrips the planet’s ability to regenerate itself.

There are ways, however, to grow more food, while using less resources, Waite said.

Here's What It Will Take to Feed 10 Billion People by 2050 (1)

“We’re not saying that everyone has to go vegan or vegetarian, but, instead, moderating consumption of beef and shifting to more plant-based foods,” he said.

If people around the world — especially in countries like the US — ate less meat and instead got more of their calories from crops, more calories could be grown on the land currently set aside for food production. In fact, producing a gram of animal-based protein requires 20 times more land and water than producing a gram of plant-based protein, the report notes.

Reducing food loss and waste is another way to limit demand. Globally, more than one-third of all food is either lost or wasted on the way from the farm to a person’s plate. Better management of food across supply chains will go a long way toward both ending world hunger and easing the resource burden on the global environment.

Read More: 9 Reasons Why Plant-Based Meat Is the Food of the Future

The next set of solutions deals with efficient land use. Farmers can cultivate more food on their land by planting different crops at different times of the year. This couldallow farmers to earn more income, improve food security, and promote healthy environments by not expanding the amount of land being cleared for use.

Farmers can also improve irrigation techniques to minimize how much water they use on an annual basis. Nearly 70% of fresh water goes to agricultural purposes. As climate change strains water sources, making the most out of limited water supplies will be key to public health and environmental sustainability. Farmers can install water monitoring technology to more efficiently irrigate their crops at the right times.

Countries also have to restore ecosystems that have been depleted by agriculture, especially wetlands and forests. The biggest driver of deforestation globally is agriculture, which ironically ends up harming food production. Forests help to regulate the climate, water sources, and pests. As forests decline, droughts and desertification become more common, making it harder to grow food and raise livestock.

Here's What It Will Take to Feed 10 Billion People by 2050 (2)Image: Unsplash

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The report calls on countries to restore hundreds of millions of hectares of forest to protect the planet.

By restoring natural environments, countries can mitigate climate change and cultivate more food, but only if crops that require minimal resources and provide a lot of calories are prioritized.

Restoring fish stocks is another area of focus. A third of all fish stocks are overcaught, and another 60% are being caught at their maximum sustainable level. Fish is a critical source of protein for billions of people globally, and the amount of fish consumed annually will only grow as the global population climbs.

Waite said that fish farms can be used to boost annual output, while also allowing wild fish populations to recover.

Here's What It Will Take to Feed 10 Billion People by 2050 (3)

Read More: Environmental Hero Leonardo DiCaprio Wants to Change the Way You Eat Seafood

Finally, the global food system has to drastically reduce its greenhouse gas emissions. Currently, agricultural and related land uses account for roughly a quarter of all greenhouse gas emissions. Keeping temperatures from rising above the 1.5 degrees Celsius limit set by the Paris climate agreement will require food production to cut emissions by nearly 75%.

Every solution canvassed in the report limits emissions to some extent, from reducing food waste to shifting diets to restoring peatlands.

The report suggests a range of ways that farmers and livestock owners can reduce their emissions. For example, livestock owners can invest in technologies and feed additives that reduce the methane released by cows. Farmers, meanwhile, can adopt practices that sequester carbon and other greenhouse gas emissions in their soil.

“There are win-win solutions and actions that are both climate mitigation and adaptation,” Waite said.

TopicsEnvironmentClimate ChangeCurrent eventsagricultureCropsPopulationFeeding the world

Here's What It Will Take to Feed 10 Billion People by 2050 (2024)

FAQs

Here's What It Will Take to Feed 10 Billion People by 2050? ›

By 2050, the global population will reach nearly 10 billion people and global food demand will soar by 56%. If food trends continue unchanged, 593 million additional hectares of land, equivalent in size to two Indias, would have to be cleared and converted to crop and livestock production to feed this many people.

Will there be enough food in the year 2050 explain your answer? ›

The United Nations Environment Programme estimates that the global population will reach 10 billion by 2050. Also by that same year, the UN projects that a scarcity of water, land and energy will lead to a global food shortage.

How much more food will we need by 2050 to feed everybody? ›

June 2, 2022 -- By 2050, we will need to produce as much as 56% more food than we did in 2010 to feed the world's growing population. While experts agree we can do it using current farming and production practices, it could be catastrophic for the planet.

Will we be able to feed 10 billion people? ›

Feeding 10 billion people on Earth is possible—and sustainable, scientists say. A new study finds that if major steps in global farming are taken, agricultural production would be substantially increased without compromising the planet.

How do we sustainably feed all 9 billion people by 2050? ›

It would be far easier to feed nine billion people by 2050 if more of the crops we grew ended up in human stomachs. Today only 55 percent of the world's crop calories feed people directly; the rest are fed to livestock (about 36 percent) or turned into biofuels and industrial products (roughly 9 percent).

Will there be enough food for everyone in 2050? ›

World population too big to feed by 2050

The world population could be too big to feed itself by 2050. By then, there will be almost 10 billion people on the planet and food demand will have increased by 70 percent compared to 2017. Scientists put the limit on how many people Earth can feed at 10 billion - max!

What will we eat in the future by 2050? ›

Future Foods: What Will People Eat in 2050?
  • Algae. ...
  • Seaweed. ...
  • Beans, Legumes and Nuts. ...
  • Wild Grains and Cereals. ...
  • Lab-Grown Meat. ...
  • False Bananas. ...
  • Insects. ...
  • Heat-Resistant Coffee.
May 26, 2022

Will there be a food shortage in 2050? ›

Global food demand will increase by more than 50 percent in 2050, but due to climate change, agriculture yields of major crops could decrease over that same period. This dangerous combination could lead to price spikes, food insecurity, social unrest, political tensions, and conflict.

How can we feed 11 billion people? ›

The solutions are organized into a five-course menu: (1) reduce growth in demand for food and other agricultural products; (2) increase food production without expanding agricultural land; (3) protect and restore natural ecosystems; (4) increase fish supply; and (5) reduce GHG emissions from agricultural production.

What will limit our ability to feed the world in the next 50 years? ›

To nourish a growing global population, we'll need to produce 56% more calories by 2050, while dealing with increasing climate-driven water risks like droughts and competition over resources. If we don't manage water more sustainably, thirsty croplands could become a barrier to food security.

Can Earth hold 100 billion people? ›

Asimov once calculated that there's enough insolation (sunlight falling on the planet) that, if we all lived underground, and the entire surface was devoted to growing food for us (no animals, we'd have killed and eaten them all), we could sustain a population of between 12 and 15 billion people.

Do we have enough resources for 10 billion people? ›

At this time and under current consumption patterns, the world already grows enough food to feed 10 billion people. Unfortunately, more than one third of all food produced is lost or wasted,21 and approximately 820 million people remain undernourished.

When did Earth reach 7 billion? ›

October 31, 2011 • Monday marks the birthday of the world's seven billionth citizen, says the United Nations. What does it mean for consumption, congestion and urbanization, particularly in countries like India and Nigeria?

Can the US feed itself? ›

The United States is growing less and less of its own food and is becoming increasingly dependent on foreign countries to feed itself as a result. The U.S. has been a proud agricultural powerhouse, consistently running an agricultural trade surplus.

Can the Earth feed everyone? ›

Today, the world produces 150% more food on only 13% more land compared with 1960, thanks to many innovations in food production made over the years. We produce enough food to feed 1.5x the global population. That's enough to feed 10 billion yet we are at just over 7 billion currently. There is enough for everyone.

Will the world have enough food? ›

There's no doubt we can produce enough food for the world's population; humanity's strategic enough to achieve that. The question is whether—because of war and conflict and corruption and destabilization—we do. Look, 200 years ago, there were 1.1 billion people on planet earth, and 95% of them lived in extreme poverty.

How much will food cost in 2050? ›

Table #3. Average US Household Expenditures by 2050
Select Expense Categories*Future Average Monthly CostFuture Average Annual Cost
Food at Home$918$11,016
Food away from Home$531$6,372
Housing$3,953$47,436
Transportation$1,914$22,968
4 more rows
May 4, 2023

Is there enough food to feed the world? ›

There is more than enough food produced in the world to feed everyone on the planet. Yet as many as 783 million people still go hungry.

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