Greed is back! Stocks at all-time highs (2024)

Greed is back! Stocks at all-time highs (1)

How CNNMoney's Fear & Greed Index works

So much for that awful January for stocks, huh?

The set a new record, while the Dow closed above 18,000 for the first time this year. The Dow is now tantalizingly close to a new all-time high. Even the Nasdaq is approaching the 5,000 mark -- a record it hasn't reached since March 2000.

CNNMoney's Fear and Greed Index, a measure of market sentiment that was showing signs of Fear a month ago, is back in Greed territory.

Love is in the air on Wall Street. And on a freaky Friday the 13th no less. But can the rally keep going?

Next month will mark the sixth anniversary of the start of the current bull market. Many people have pointed out that stocks have never gone up for seven years in a row. So history is not on the side of the bulls.

Still, it's hard to bet against stocks. Every time it seems that a new crisis is about to derail the market and lead to a huge pullback, buyers come rushing back.

Related: Apple and Southwest are among the 10 stocks we love

We're still overdue for a correction: Forget about a 20% drop that would note a bear market. We haven't had a 10% correction since 2011.

The big concerns that spooked investors last month are starting to fade away a bit.

Greed is back! Stocks at all-time highs (2)

Oil prices have rebounded to back above $50 a barrel.

Fears of Greece leaving the eurozone haven't gone away but many experts are stubbornly clinging to the hope that Greece's many creditors and the new Greek leaders will avoid the worst-case scenario.

Central banks around the world (with the notable exception of the Federal Reserve) are slashing interest rates and/or buying bonds to fight slowing growth and the threat of deflation. This injection of liquidity could keep stocks afloat for the foreseeable future.

The dollar has weakened a little bit lately as a result. So some of the concerns about a stronger greenback hurting earnings for multinational giants like Microsoft (MSFT), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Caterpillar (CAT) and Procter & Gamble (PG) could turn out to be temporary.

Related: Alibaba and Disney are two of the 10 stocks you love

Strong earnings, particularly from tech companies, have helped boost sentiment as well. Apple (AAPL), Facebook (FB), Netflix (NFLX) and Cisco (CSCO) have all reported solid results.

Bond prices have plummeted this month too after surging in January. And that's pushed yields, which move in the opposite direction of bonds, on the 10-Year Treasury back toward 2%.

Good signs for America: Mark Spellman, portfolio manager for the Alpine Equity Income Fund, added that investors are encouraged by continued signs of economic strength in the United States.

He noted that the January jobs report was particularly positive since wage growth picked up. Add the expected benefit of lower gas prices and consumers should be able to keep spending at a decent pace.

"There is some irrefutable evidence here that the U.S. economy is doing pretty darn well," Spellman said.

John Buckingham, chief investment officer of AFAM Capital and editor of the Prudent Speculator newsletter, said that even though long-term rates have picked up, there are many quality dividend paying stocks that offer a lot more growth potential than bonds.

So for now at least, the bull is raging. Investors are happy to embrace risk again.

Related: Top hedge fund dumps Apple, buys Microsoft

Too much euphoria? But there are reasons to be worried that stock prices are too frothy -- just like in 2000.

Paul Ehrlichman, head of global value equity at ClearBridge Investments, said he thinks that the continued infatuation with U.S. stocks is a "crowded trade."

The S&P 500 is now valued at 17 times 2015 earnings estimates. That is not cheap -- especially when you consider that analysts are only predicting 3% earnings growth this year.

Ehrlichman thinks investors are too negative about the rest of the world and that there are better values in Europe, China and Japan.

It's also important to remember that market volatility is probably here to stay for awhile.

Stocks could turn on a dime if something goes wrong in Greece. Or the Ukraine ceasefire collapses. Or if there are more problems in the Middle East. Or if oil prices suddenly plunge again. China's economy could slow faster than expected.

You get the picture. Many of the risks that everyone was freaking about in January haven't magically disappeared. Investors are just choosing not to be as worried about them right now.

CNNMoney (New York) First published February 13, 2015: 9:51 AM ET

Greed is back! Stocks at all-time highs (2024)

FAQs

What happens when stocks hit all-time high? ›

And, on average, 12-month returns following an all-time high being hit have been better than at other times: 10.3% ahead of inflation compared with 8.6% when the market wasn't at a high. Returns on a two-year or three-year horizon have been slightly better on average too (see Chart 1).

What to do when stock market is all-time high? ›

All-time highs are a good opportunity to examine and manage your risk. All investors should consider rebalancing their portfolios, and active investors may consider hedging. Let's take a look at both. While a bull market may be great for portfolio growth, it may throw off your asset allocation.

Should you invest at all-time high? ›

All-time highs may be a sign of strength

Historically, all-time highs have not been followed by significant selloffs. In fact, stocks have experienced better than average returns after reaching an all-time high.

How does greed affect the stock market? ›

With higher demand (more money), prices keep rising further and profits grow. Growing profits fuel more greed and more money get invested raising prices to excessive levels. At very high prices, asset bubbles are created i.e. prices are much more than intrinsic or fundamental value of assets.

How often is the market at all time highs? ›

History clearly suggests that there is. As shown in the chart above, new “all-time highs” for the S&P 500 are fairly common. Since the 1950s, the index has posted over 1,200 new highs, averaging more than 17 new highs per year — more than one in every 20 trading days.

What is the highest price a stock has ever reached? ›

1. Berkshire Hathaway Inc. ($634,440)
  • Berkshire Hathaway is the holding company of billionaire investor Warren Buffett. ...
  • Notable companies under the Berkshire umbrella include GEICO Auto Insurance and Helzberg Diamonds. ...
  • Its brands include well-known Russell Stover, Lindt, and Ghirardelli.
Apr 11, 2024

Should I take all my money out of the stock market? ›

Key Takeaways. While holding or moving to cash might feel good mentally and help avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be wise over the long term. Once you cash out a stock that's dropped in price, you move from a paper loss to an actual loss.

What if I invest $1,000 in stock market? ›

Do not expect high returns while investing your first Rs 1,000 in stocks. Stocks are not 'lottery' tickets. Even if you get a return of 100% in 6 months, still you will make a profit of only Rs 1000 (Rs 166 per month on average). This isn't going to affect your life financially.

At what age should you get out of the stock market? ›

There are no set ages to get into or to get out of the stock market. While older clients may want to reduce their investing risk as they age, this doesn't necessarily mean they should be totally out of the stock market.

Is $1,000 enough to invest? ›

While $1,000 may not seem like much, it's enough cash to start growing your money and securing your financial future, especially if investing becomes a habit. Don't let small amounts prevent you from earning larger ones down the road.

Is $10,000 too little to invest? ›

It will likely be difficult to invest in physical real estate with $10,000. However, you can still invest in multiple areas of the real estate market through stocks known as real estate investment trusts (REITs). If you're wondering how to invest $10,000 for passive income, REITs could be the answer.

Is $1,000 a good amount to invest? ›

The Bottom Line. With many available options, investors can use $1,000 to purchase ETFs, stocks, or bonds. Simply paying off outstanding debt may save money in interest payments over time and prove to be a wise investment.

What does Warren Buffett say about greed? ›

Warren Buffett once said that it's wise for investors “to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.” This statement is somewhat of a contrarian view of stock markets that relates directly to the price of an asset.

Is the stock market driven by greed? ›

There is an old saying on Wall Street that the market is driven by just two emotions: fear and greed. Although this is an oversimplification, it can often ring true. Succumbing to these emotions, however, can also profoundly harm investor portfolios, the stock market's stability, and even the economy on the whole.

What are the 5 effect of greed? ›

Far too often, greed comes with stress, exhaustion, anxiety, depression and despair. In addition, it can lead to maladaptive behaviour patterns such as gambling, hoarding, trickery and even theft. In the corporate world, as John Grant wrote, “fraud is the daughter of greed.”

Is it bad to buy stocks when they are high? ›

Remember that past performance does not guarantee future results. JP Morgan looked at what would happen historically if you invest only on days when there's a market high. Then, they compared that with investing on any random (non-market-high) day. The result is that investing at market highs actually worked out well.

Do you sell when stocks are high? ›

Investors commonly sell to reap quick gains. However, selling a stock merely because it has risen dramatically in price isn't always the best course of action. The price gains may be justified by the company's underlying fundamentals or purely on speculation due to takeover rumors or a short squeeze.

Is it good for a stock price to be high? ›

Publicly traded companies place great importance on their stock share price, which broadly reflects the corporation's overall financial health. As a general rule, the higher a stock price is, the rosier a company's prospects become.

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