Gold, silver rates fall on weak international cues verify MCX gold, silver, COMEX trading strategies (2024)

Gold rates had been trading flat to damaging on Tuesday, following international rates as a stronger dollar and comments from US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on the economy weighed on yellow metal’s secure-haven appeal. MCX gold June futures had been trading Rs 34 down at Rs 47,285 per 10 gram, against the earlier close of Rs 47,319. Silver July futures had been ruling at Rs 70,738 per kg, down Rs 162 or .23 per cent. In the earlier session, silver futures ended at Rs 70,900 per kg. Globally, spot gold was down .2 per cent at $1,789.02 per ounce. The metal touched its highest due to the fact February 25, at $1,797.75 on Monday. US gold futures fell .2 per cent to $1,788.80 per ounce, according to Reuters.

Bhavik Patel, Senior Technical Research Analyst, Tradebulls Securities

Gold futures had powerful and respectable acquire yesterday as COMEX contract gained by $25 and in MCX, regardless of powerful rupee, MCX Gold gained by practically Rs.400 from yesterday’s opening tick. Factor which contributed to yesterday’s acquire was the weak US dollar and slightly reduce US Treasury yields. Lower than anticipated IHS Markit U.S. manufacturing activity pushed the US Dollar down. Yellen’s inflation outlook has helped to hold a cap on bond yields as she believes the huge infrastructure plan will not influence inflation as the plan would be spread more than next ten years. This has helped shift some of the sentiment from the bond market place to the gold market place and that is why we are seeing some fresh demand for gold.

Although gold rates have been unable to break above $1,800 an ounce, I am nevertheless optimistic that this level will sooner or later break. The essential macroeconomic information for gold will release this Friday which is US jobs report from April. Hedge funds are rising their bearish bets as gold is unable to cross $1800 level but we think tide will be turned after gold sustains above $1800 level. In MCX, we nevertheless propose to purchase on dips close to Rs 47,000 with anticipated target of Rs 47,700 and stoploss of Rs 46,500. Short term help for gold is Rs 46,450 and any upside momentum will only shift if gold closes under that level.

NS Ramaswamy, Head of Commodities, Ventura Securities

Today, we count on the MCX Gold June value to trade positive for intraday. Yesterday, It has sharply closed above the 20-day moving typical and today it is most likely to cross above the one hundred-day moving typical. On the hourly chart, MCX GOLD rates have closed above the essential averages which will support the rates to rise additional. Once rates start out trading above 47,500 level then rates are most likely to cross 48,000 level. On the downside 46,800 will be the essential help for the value. On the Comex front, the Gold value will face powerful resistance at $1800/ounce and breaking above which, next leg of the rally will head towards $1850/ounce in the coming sessions.

MCX SILVER Jul rates are seeking bullish for the intraday. The RSI indicator on the every day chart has moved in the positive zone suggesting a powerful momentum on the upside. Breaking above the current higher of 71,500 levels, we might see rates heading towards 74,000 levels in the coming trading sessions. On the downside, the 20-day moving typical will be the essential help which is now seen at 69,000 level. On the Comex Front, the Silver value will face a powerful hurdle zone at $27.00/ounce levels on a every day closing basis and breaking above which, next leg of the rally will march towards $27.50- $28.00/ounce levels in the coming trading sessions.

Ravindra Rao, CMT, EPAT, VP- Head Commodity Research at Kotak Securities

COMEX gold trades small changed close to $1790/oz soon after a 1.4% acquire yesterday. Gold stalled soon after failing to break previous the $1800/oz level and volatility in the US dollar. The US currency fell yesterday on disappointing information and cautious comments by Fed officials but has inched up today supported by basic US optimism. Amid other variables, help from increasing virus circ*mstances and loose monetary policy stance of big central banks is countered by weaker investor interest and issues about Indian demand. Choppiness in the US dollar as market place players assess Fed’s monetary policy stance might hold gold volatile nevertheless basic bias might be on the upside as central banks might sustain dovish stance.

Jigar Trivedi, Fundamental Research Analyst, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers

MCX Gold hit a more than two-month higher in the earlier session soon after the ISM PMI survey showed the US manufacturing sector expanded at a softer pace in April, due to slower development prices for each new orders and employment. Gold was currently gaining on the back of reduce US Treasury yields and mounting issues more than the coronavirus crisis. The typical every day price of new COVID-19 circ*mstances about the world has been above 800,000 for more than a week, with India reporting more than 300,000 new infections for the 12th straight day. Investors now await a raft of US financial information this week, such as non-farm payrolls. MCX silver July also sky rocketed above Rs. 70,000. Expectations of enhanced industrial demand as the financial recovery collect pace and a weaker dollar supplied lasting help. Since the yellow metal has gained sharply in the earlier session, it might expertise a compact correction but the tone is positive and we propose to go lengthy on just about every dip. Due to rise in industrial demand, silver as well has gained momentum and we continue to stay bullish in silver.

(The views in this story are expressed by the respective specialists of analysis and brokerage firm. TheSpuzz Online does not bear any duty for their guidance. Please seek advice from your investment advisor ahead of investing.)

Gold, silver rates fall on weak international cues verify MCX gold, silver, COMEX trading strategies (2024)

FAQs

What is the gold silver ratio signal? ›

The Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) has emerged as a key indicator for investors in the precious metals market, providing insights into the relative value of gold and silver. Currently above 1-90, the ratio suggests that silver may be undervalued, making it an opportune time for long-term investors.

Do gold and silver prices move together? ›

Gold and silver are thought to move together, and often they do. There are periods where the Gold Trust (GLD) and Silver Trust (SLV) move in opposite directions and periods where one metal outperforms the other. Gold is currently outperforming silver. Such discrepancies occur and are monitored by the gold/silver ratio.

What is the correlation between gold price and silver price? ›

A beta equal to 1.0 indicates silver prices are strongly correlated with gold and have similar volatility. When this beta is greater than 1.0, the volatility of silver is higher than gold and less than that of gold when the beta is less than 1.0.

How to trade in gold and silver? ›

To trade gold and silver futures, you will need to set up an account with a platform that allows futures trading. Many online trading platforms and full-service brokerages offer futures trading, but you will need to request approval to use this feature.

What gold silver ratio should I buy silver? ›

Throughout history the ratio has fluctuated widely. Many investors in silver believe the ratio should stand at 16:1, primarily because there is 16 times more silver in the Earth's crust than gold.

How much gold to silver should I own? ›

As a result, many experts recommend a precious metal portfolio that ideally consists of 75% gold and 25% silver. This is because the silver price tends to be more volatile than that of gold and will therefore have a larger impact on the value of your precious metal portfolio as its price fluctuates.

Is silver going to Skyrocket? ›

The slowing construction sector could be a headwind for the silver price in 2024. The silver price forecast is expected to remain elevated above $23/oz in 2024. Silver price could trade high at $30-$34/oz later this year if the Fed goes ahead with a rate-cutting move.

Will silver hit $30 an ounce? ›

US investment bank JP Morgan sees silver reaching $30 by the end of 2024, driven by the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates and falling US yields. Commerzbank sees silver rising to $30 by the end of 2024.

What is causing silver prices to drop? ›

The price of silver tends to track the performance of the overall stock market and the economy. During economic expansions, silver prices tend to rise along with GDP and markets, while during recessions silver prices generally fall as the economy slows.

What happens to gold and silver when interest rates go up? ›

Rising interest rates create more demand for stocks and bonds. Inversely, falling rates make equities and bonds less attractive. Falling interest rates boost demand for gold and other alternative assets, including cryptocurrency. Rising interest rates can also boost the strength of the dollar, weakening gold prices.

Why is silver so much cheaper than gold? ›

Gold is also more valuable than silver because it is available in much smaller quantities than silver. It's estimated that all the gold that has been mined throughout history and is yet to be mined can fit in just over three Olympic-sized swimming pools at a total of 244,000 metric tons.

Will silver outperform gold? ›

The “traditional view is that silver will outperform gold in a bull market, but so far this has been muted,” the Silver Institute's survey said, adding that silver prices have met with strong resistance near $25 since 2023.

Does Warren Buffett invest in gold and silver? ›

Warren Buffett does not invest in gold. He has invested almost $1 billion in silver, so the reason for his aversion is not simply a dislike for precious metals. The explanation for Buffett's dislike of gold and for his enthusiasm about silver stems from his basic value investing principles.

Will silver go to 1000 an ounce? ›

As long as inflation remains steady, silver is guaranteed to reach $1000 an ounce - many hundred years from now. But in the near term, no, an ounce of silver won't cost $1000 an ounce in our lifetimes.

Can you sell gold and silver to a bank? ›

That being said, in the United States, most banks will not buy precious metals, including gold.

What does a high gold to silver ratio mean? ›

A low ratio means gold prices are low compared to silver, while a high ratio means silver prices are lower than gold. Investors may choose to buy gold while prices are low or sell their commodities when the ratio is extraordinarily high, pushing the 100:1 range.

What to buy when gold to silver ratio is high? ›

If it is high, you might make a bet and buy Silver because it means the price is low and might increase over time. However, if this ratio is low, it might be better to buy Gold because it sells at a more affordable rate.

What is the chemical signal for gold? ›

Gold is element 79 and its symbol is Au.

What is GSR in silver? ›

The Gold-Silver Ratio, or GSR, indicates the price of gold relative to silver and is calculated as the price of gold divided by the price of silver on a per-troy-ounce basis. It reflects how many ounces of silver a single ounce of gold is worth.

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