Gartner's 8 Cybersecurity Predictions for 2023-2025 | Kron (2024)

Gartner's 8 Cybersecurity Predictions for 2023-2025

Feb 13, 2022 / Kron

The emphasis on data privacy laws, ransomware attacks, cyber-physical systems, and board-level audits drives the priorities of security and risk leaders.

"How do we ensure that our consumers are not physically harmed by fraudsters?" This is the question that security and risk leaders must anticipate for the future and plan accordingly.

The proliferation of cyber-physical systems, which include systems that combine the cyber and physical worlds for technologies such as autonomous cars or digital twins, poses another security risk for organizations, and how cyber-attackers can target these systems is one of our most important predictors for the coming years.

“We’re falling into this old habit of trying to treat everything the same as we did in the past,” Gartner Analyst Sam Olyaei said in his presentation at the Gartner IT Symposium/XPO™ 2021 on this topic adding, "This simply cannot continue. We need to make sure that we are evolving our thinking, our philosophy, our program and our architecture.”

Security and risk management has become a board-level issue for organizations. Security breaches are becoming more common and more complex, resulting in new laws being passed to protect consumers and companies putting security at the center of their decisions.

For the next few years, Gartner analysts envision an environment in which greater decentralization, increased regulation, and security implications will be more severe. Put these strategic planning assumptions on your roadmap for the year ahead.

1. By the end of 2023, modern data privacy laws will cover the personal information of 75% of the world's population.

GDPR was the first major consumer privacy legislation, but others quickly followed, including Turkey's Personal Data Protection Act (KVKK), Brazil's General Personal Data Protection Act (LGPD), and California's Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA). The scope of these laws means that you will manage multiple data protection laws in various jurisdictions and customers will want to know what kind of data you collect from them and how it is used. This also means that you need to focus on automation of your data privacy management system. As for how to do this, basically, using GDPR, you can standardize security operations and then tailor it to individual jurisdictions.

2. By 2024, organizations that adopt a cybersecurity network architecture will be able to reduce the financial costs of security incidents by an average of 90%.

Organizations now support a variety of technologies in different locations, so they need a flexible security solution. The cyber safety net expands to include identities outside the traditional security perimeter and creates a holistic view of the organization. It also helps improve security for remote working. These demands will accelerate the transition to this approach over the next two years.

3. By 2024, 30% of enterprises will deploy cloud-based Secure Web Gateway (SWG), Cloud Access Security Brokers (CASB), Zero Trust Network Access (ZTNA), and Firewall as a Service (FWaaS), sourced from the same vendor.

Organizations are turning to optimization and consolidation. Security leaders typically manage dozens of tools, but they plan to reduce that number to even less than 10. From this perspective, SaaS will become the preferred delivery method and consolidation will affect hardware adoption times.

4. By 2025, 60% of organizations will use cybersecurity risk as the primary determinant in conducting third-party transactions and business relationships.

Investors, especially venture capitalists, use cybersecurity risk as an important factor in evaluating opportunities. Organizations are increasingly looking at cybersecurity risk during business deals, including mergers and acquisitions and vendor agreements. As a result, there may be requests for more data about a partner's cybersecurity program, through surveys or security ratings.

5. The percentage of states that enact laws regulating ransomware payments, fines and negotiations will increase from less than 1% in 2021 to 30% by the end of 2025.

While broader regulations currently apply to ransomware payments, security experts may face stricter measures on payments. Given an as yet unregulated crypto-currency market, paying the ransom has ethical, legal and moral implications, and it's vital to consider the implications. The decision to pay (or not) should be left to a cross-functional team that can address all these concerns.

6. By 2025, 40% of boards will have a dedicated cybersecurity committee overseen by a qualified board member.

As cybersecurity has become (and remains) a top issue for boards of directors, you can expect a board-level cybersecurity committee and tighter oversight. This increases the visibility of cybersecurity risk across the organization and requires a new approach to board reporting, the details of which may depend on the background and experience of specific board members. In this respect, you should conduct a communication that focuses on risk and cost values.

7. By 2025, 70% of CEOs will build a culture of corporate resilience to protect themselves from threats from cybercrime, severe weather events, social events, and political instability.

Go beyond cybersecurity and enterprise resilience to account for broader security environments. Digital transformation adds extra complexity to the threat landscape, which will affect how you produce products and services. Try to define organizational resilience and objectives and create an inventory of cyber risks affecting them.

8. By 2025, cyber-attackers will be able to use operational technology environments as weapons successfully enough to cause human casualties.

As malware spreads from IT to OT, the focus is shifting from business interruptions to physical harm, with the final responsibility resting with the CEO. Focus on asset-centric cyber-physical systems and ensure teams are in place to handle the appropriate management.

As Gartner has demonstrated through its global research, if you want to ensure data privacy or centrally manage your organization's data and access security infrastructure against ransomware attacks, youcancontactusto benefit from the world's leading Privileged Access Management (PAM)solutions.

Source:https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/the-top-8-cybersecurity-predictions-for-2021-2022

Gartner's 8 Cybersecurity Predictions for 2023-2025 | Kron (2024)

FAQs

What does Gartner predict for cybersecurity in 2025? ›

Gartner predicts that ransomware-related negotiations, payments, and fines will be regulated by law in 20% of countries by the end of 2025.

What is Gartner's top cybersecurity prediction? ›

Among the top predictions, generative AI (GenAI) adoption will collapse the cybersecurity skills gap and reduce employee-driven cybersecurity incidents; two-thirds of global 100 organizations will extend directors and officers insurance to cybersecurity leaders due to personal legal exposure; and battling ...

What will cybersecurity look like in 2025? ›

Artificial intelligence (AI) will almost certainly increase the volume and heighten the impact of cyber attacks over the next two years. However, the impact on the cyber threat will be uneven (see table 1). The threat to 2025 comes from evolution and enhancement of existing tactics, techniques and procedures (TTPs).

What is the future of cybersecurity in 2023? ›

In 2023, the ransomware trend continued, and we anticipate the future of cybersecurity holds much of the same. As the number of threat actors in this realm increases, we've also seen notable increases in the frequency, scope, and volume of ransomware attacks.

What is Gartner predicting about low code by 2025? ›

Gartner analysis shows that an average of 41% of non-IT workers are currently customizing or developing data or application solutions. Interestingly, by the end of 2025, half of all new low-code customers will come from corporate clients outside of IT.

Will cybersecurity be in demand in 2025? ›

The scope of cybersecurity in 2025 seems bright and promising as our reliance on digital technology increases. Since the domain to secure networks, devices, data stored in the cloud, and other crucial information is cybersecurity only, the demand for cybersecurity will be high.

What is Gartner in cyber security? ›

Gartner for CISOs helps you reframe your role, align your security strategy to business objectives and build programs that balance protection with the needs of the organization.

Why is Gartner important in cyber security? ›

Gartner believes investing in effective risk management of third-party services and software, enhanced security for the identity fabric and continuous monitoring of hybrid digital environments can harden an organisation's attack surface and strengthen its resilience.

What are the top cybersecurity threats Gartner? ›

Generative AI (GenAI), unsecure employee behavior, third-party risks, continuous threat exposure, boardroom communication gaps and identity-first approaches to security are the driving forces behind the top cybersecurity trends for 2024, according to Gartner, Inc.

What is the projection for cybercrime in 2025? ›

Global cybercrime damage predicted to hit $10.5 trln annually by 2025. According to Cybersecurity Ventures expects global cybercrime costs to grow by 15% per year over the next three years, reaching $10.5 trillion USD annually by 2025.

What will cybersecurity look like in 5 years? ›

A few key trends and developments are expected in the next 5-10 years. AI and Machine Learning will dominate the defense: Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are already transforming cybersecurity, but their role will be even more prominent in the coming years.

How much will cyber security spend in 2025? ›

The allocations, if passed into law, would mark a record high for IT and cyber spending at $75.13 billion in 2025, up from around $74.56 billion in the prior year.

What are the predictions for cybersecurity in 2024? ›

20) Cyber Ark — The CyberArk blog team offers Cybersecurity Predictions for 2024 and Beyond. Here's what they say for 2024: “Session hijacking will take on an increasingly prominent attack role. … 'Even more organizations will shift to passwordless access management, from passkeys to MFA, to help thwart attacks.

What is the problem with cybersecurity in 2023? ›

In 2023, these include: Drive-by compromise – using compromised websites or taking over the user's browser. Exploit public-facing applications – exploiting a weakness in the user's system such as a bug or misconfiguration. External remote services – using a VPN or other access mechanism to connect to the network.

How big is the cyber security market in 2025? ›

The cyber-security market worldwide is forecast to reach a value of 42 billion U.S. dollars in 2022, up from 37 billion U.S. dollars in 2021. It is estimated that this figure will reach approximately 58 billion dollars by 2025.

What are the top trends in cybersecurity for 2024 Gartner? ›

The Gartner Top Trends in Cybersecurity 2024 survey finds emerging pressure from: The emergence of generative AI (GenAI) as a mainstream capability. The continued gap between security-talent supply and demand. Relentless growth in cloud adoption, which is altering the composition of digital ecosystems.

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