Emerging Markets - Opportunities & Threats: Indonesia (2024)

by Sterling J. Scott, Marketing Communications Coordinator, MHI |@mhi_sterling

Opportunities
Indonesia boasts one of the largest economies of Southeast Asia and has been growing at a rate of roughly 6% annually on average since 2007, dipping only slightly to just below 5% following the global financial crisis of2008. The country has also maintained steady GDP per capita growth of just over 4.5% and healthy population growth, which are resulting in a growing middle class. Indonesia is the largest Muslim country in the world and is also one of the most secular and moderate. This put the country in a position to increase business relations with countries in the Middle East while also bridging the gap between those countries and countries in other regions. Indonesia has yet to use this to its advantage to increase growth even further.

Threats
Indonesia is facing many infrastructure challenges and though logistics accounts for roughly 24% of the country’s GDP, there many roads in need of development, the cost of fuel is high, and there rural areas are hard to access. Also, the country is still a growing democracy, and will continue to face challenges as it stabilizes and matures. Many industries are state-onwed, which may deter investment; however, with the political reforms and developments, there are also economic reforms and developments, which are projected to result in a more open market.

Conclusion
Indonesia’s economy is growing quickly and has the potential to grow even more with improvements to infrastructure and transportation logistics. Not only is Indonesia becoming an attractive market for investors due to the growing middle class, growing political / economic openness, and potential business relations with the large, emerging markets of the Middle East, it is also an attractive market for providers of material handling and supply chain solutions due to the country’s strong manufacturing sectors and the country’s need for improvements in transportation logistics.

More information on supply chain trends, recommended strategy, and innovations that drive supply chains are available in the2014 MHI Annual Industry Reportwhich can be downloaded atwww.mhi.org.

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Emerging Markets - Opportunities & Threats: Indonesia (2024)

FAQs

Emerging Markets - Opportunities & Threats: Indonesia? ›

Not only is Indonesia becoming an attractive market for investors due to the growing middle class, growing political / economic openness, and potential business relations with the large, emerging markets of the Middle East, it is also an attractive market for providers of material handling and supply chain solutions ...

How is Indonesia an emerging market? ›

The reality, it is domestic consumption rather than exports and services rather than manufacturing or resources, that are the engine of the growth. With the youngest population in the Southeast Asia region, where 25% are under 15, Indonesia poses a massive consumer market.

What are the risks and challenges of emerging markets? ›

  • Foreign Exchange Rate Risk.
  • Non-Normal Distributions.
  • Lax Insider Trading Restrictions.
  • Lack of Liquidity.
  • Difficulty Raising Capital.
  • Poor Corporate Governance.
  • Increased Chances of Bankruptcy.
  • Political Risk.

What are the economic issues in Indonesia? ›

Indonesia's economy grapples with challenges like dependence on natural resource exports, infrastructure gaps, regional disparities, and a need for skilled labor. Corruption, complex regulations, environmental issues, and income inequality also impede growth.

What is the future economy of Indonesia? ›

According to the World Bank's October 2023 economic report, Indonesia's economic growth is underpinned by a pick-up in private consumption and positive terms-of-trade. GDP growth is projected at 5.0 percent in 2023 and to an average of 4.9 percent over the medium term in 2024-2026.

Is Indonesia a developing or emerging economy? ›

The economy of Indonesia is a mixed economy with dirigiste characteristics, and it is one of the emerging market economies in the world and the largest in Southeast Asia. As an upper-middle income country and member of the G20, Indonesia is classified as a newly industrialized country.

Why is Indonesia developing so fast? ›

The global commodity boom and a return of tourists is driving economic growth in Indonesia. South-East Asia's largest economy is also turning to transformative digital and green strategies as part of its next phase of development.

What are the threats of emerging economies? ›

Risks of Emerging Markets

This risk can include political instability, domestic infrastructure problems, currency volatility, and illiquid equity, as many large companies may still be state-run or private. Also, local stock exchanges may not offer liquid markets to outside investors.

Why are emerging markets struggling? ›

Even though the world economy at large has proven resilient, they point out that portfolio flows to emerging markets have experienced the most pronounced decline in more than a decade - driven mainly by outflows from Russia and China - and they have now been trending down for ten years.

What are the advantages of emerging economies? ›

Emerging markets often expand trade volume and develop more modern financial institutions. As they become more developed, they increase their chances of being profitable for investors. Factors that can influence an economy's transition include: growth in gross domestic product (GDP)

What is the biggest issue in Indonesia? ›

Indonesia
  • New Criminal Code.
  • Women's and Girls' Rights.
  • Violations of Right to Freedom of Religion and Belief.
  • Sexual Orientation and Gender Identity.
  • Land Rights.
  • Rights Abuses in West Papua.
  • Climate Change Policy and Impact.
  • Disability Rights.

What are the biggest challenges in Indonesia? ›

Indonesia's Nascent Democracy Faces Multiple Related Challenges
  • Economic vulnerability. ...
  • Political instability. ...
  • Threats to territorial integrity. ...
  • Decentralization. ...
  • Military reform. ...
  • Support Indonesia's stability and territorial integrity. ...
  • Strive to build closer military-to-military ties.

How stable is the Indonesian economy? ›

The Indonesian economy possesses sound fundamentals of social stability, strong domestic demand for goods and services, steadily increasing foreign reserves (about $137.5 billion in June 2023), and stable prices with moderate-to-low inflation.

What can Indonesia do to improve its economy? ›

To achieve such growth, it is important to continue implementing reforms that remove bottlenecks that limit efficiency, competitiveness, and productivity growth. Doing so will enable Indonesia to accelerate growth, create more and better jobs, and achieve its vision of becoming a high-income country by 2045.”

What is the long term development plan of Indonesia? ›

The Long-Term National Development Plan (National RPJP) is the national development planning document, which is the further specification of the goal for establishing the Government of the Republic of Indonesia, as contained in the Preamble of the 1945 Constitution, in the form of the vision, mission, and direction of ...

What is Indonesia's biggest export? ›

Indonesia's most important export commodities are oil and gas, minerals, crude palm oil, electrical appliances and rubber products.

What type of economy does Indonesia have? ›

Indonesia has a mixed economic system which includes a variety of private freedom, combined with centralized economic planning and government regulation. Indonesia is a member of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).

What is the reason for economic growth in Indonesia? ›

Indonesia's economic performance has been shaped by government policy, the country's endowment of natural resources and its young and growing labour force. Alongside the industrialisation of its economy, Indonesia's trade openness has increased over the past half century.

Why expand business in Indonesia? ›

The country boasts an enormous labor pool, a growing middle class, and a vast wealth of natural resources. Standard Chartered Bank projected Indonesia's economy to grow from US$4.2 trillion in 2020 to US$10.1 trillion by 2030 to become the world's fourth-largest economy in terms of purchasing power parity.

Which country is emerging market? ›

According to their analysis, depending on the criteria used, the term may not always be appropriate. The 10 Big Emerging Markets (BEM) economies are (alphabetically ordered): Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, South Africa, South Korea and Turkey.

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