Emerging markets are thriving amid a slow global IPO market (2024)

  • YTD, global IPO volumes fell 5%, with proceeds down by 36% YOY
  • The US had its largest offering since November 2021
  • Asia-Pacific continues to dominate with an approximate 60% share

Globally, year-to-date (YTD) 2023 recorded 615 IPOs with US$60.9b capital raised, a 5% and 36% decrease year-over-year (YOY). Larger deals came to the market in Q2 compared to Q1, even though it has been a slow recovery.These modest results reflect slower global economic growth, tight monetary policies and heightened geopolitical tensions. However, some emerging markets are booming with IPO activities, as they benefited from the global demand for rich mineral resources, their vast population, growing unicorns and entrepreneurial small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). These and other findings are available in theEY Global IPO Trends Q2 2023.

While the technology sector continues to be the leading sector in IPO activities to date in 2023, IPO proceeds raised by companies of the energy sector have dwindled on the back of softer global energy prices. As well, cross-border activity has experienced a significant surge in both volume and proceeds, primarily attributed to the growing influx from China into the US and a steady flow into the Swiss Stock Exchange.

The special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) market continued to be challenged with negotiations becoming increasingly complex. There is still an exorbitant number of SPACs yet to announce or complete a de-SPAC, which are facing liquidation by the expiration period in the next six months. However, we do expect SPAC IPO activities to return to a more sensible and sustainable level that were seen pre-2021.

Overall regional performance: Q2 performed better than Q1

While the number of IPOs remained flat, the Americas region saw an increase in proceeds of 86%, raising US$9.1b, YOY. This growth was primarily attributed to a single mega spin-off IPO, which happened to be the largest US IPO since November 2021. The US experienced an uptick driven primarily by a few large deals and recent improvements in market sentiment could be a sign for more US IPO activity later in 2023 or 2024. However, despite the positive developments, it may take the overall Americas IPO market longer to recover than many market participants forecasted at the beginning of the year due to the unforeseen banking crisis in 2023.

YTD, the Asia-Pacific IPO market has maintained its position as the global leader in IPOvolume and value, with an approximate 60% share.Of the top 10 global IPOs, half were from Mainland China and one was fromJapan. The region saw 371 IPOs raising US$39.4b in this period, a YOY fall of2% and 40% respectively – proceeds were down significantly due to a cooler-than-expected Mainland China IPO market, with many large IPOs waiting on the side-line.For the first time in more than 20 years,Indonesia has surpassed Hong Kong inthe global stock exchange rankings by deal number.

EMEIA IPO activity has continued to shrink, with167listings raisingUS$12.4bYTD, a12%and50%fall YOY, respectively. Despite this, the region kept its position as the second largest IPO market with 27% of all IPO deals, and saw the second biggest IPO at US$2.5b. India exchanges also broke a two-decade streak, jumping to the top spot in deal count. However, inflation levels in most European countries remain challenging, and the lack of liquidity continues to hold back IPO activity.

Paul Go, EY Global IPO Leader, says:

“Against the backdrop of a divergent global economy and unpredictable geopoliticallandscape, some stock markets are reaching a long-time high and enjoying lowvolatility.Certain theme-centric sectors such as technology and clean energy aresignaling an upswing in IPO activity.Large, well-established companiesaredemonstrating enduring resilience, while growth narratives with more realistic andacceptable valuation are becoming more receptive by the market.In this shifting environment, companies need to prepare now to be ‘IPO-ready’ for anyforthcoming windows.”

2H 2023 outlook: pipeline still in holding

A resurgence in global IPO activity is anticipated to start late 2023 as economic conditions and market sentiment gradually improve with the tight monetary policy entering its final stage.

After the one mega spin-off IPO debut in the US that outshone all other traditional IPOs, there are strong indications that this trend will persist. Large corporate spin-offs and carve-out listings will likely surface across major markets, as companies seek to create more shareholder values through divestiture while investors lean toward mature, profit-making businesses amid a yet-to-revive IPO market.

Understanding the different requirements of each IPO market that companies plan to enter is essential to meet investor expectations and avoid potential delays due to regulatory issues. Investors will continue to be more selective, orienting toward companies with solid fundamentals and proven track record. All options, from alternative IPO processes (direct listing or de-SPAC merger) to other financing methods (private capital, debt or trade sale), should be considered.

-ends-

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About the data

The data presented here is available oney.com/ipo/trends.Q2 2023 refers to the second quarter of 2023 and covers completed IPOs from 1 April to 19 June 2023, plus expected IPOs by 30 June 2023 (forecasted as of 19 June 2023).Q2 2022 refers to the second quarter of 2022 and covers completed IPOs from 1 April to 30 June 2022. YTD 2023 refers to the first six months of 2023 and covers completed IPOs from 1 January 2023 to 19 June 2023, plus expected IPOs by 30 June 2023 (forecasted as of 19 June 2023). YTD 2022 refers to the first six months of 2022 and covers completed IPOs from 1 January 2022 to 30 June 2022.All data contained in this document is sourced fromDealogic, Capital IQ, SPACInsider and EY analysis unless otherwise noted. The Dealogic data in this report are under license by ION. ION retains and reserves all rights in such data. SPAC data are excluded in all data included in this report, except where indicated.

Emerging markets are thriving amid a slow global IPO market (2024)

FAQs

Emerging markets are thriving amid a slow global IPO market? ›

However, some emerging markets are booming with IPO activities, as they benefited from the global demand for rich mineral resources, their vast population, growing unicorns and entrepreneurial small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). These and other findings are available in the EY Global IPO Trends Q2 2023.

Why is IPO market slow? ›

High interest rates, geopolitical instability and recessionary concerns weighed on the IPO market last year, but strong fundamentals still led to investment. A multitude of factors will influence which companies can go public and the trajectory of the IPO market rebound.

Why are IPOs declining? ›

The decline in initial public offerings (IPOs) from 2022 was impacted by sharp rate increases that caused a market selloff. Despite the market recovery in 2023, with the Nasdaq-100 ending near all-time highs, the IPO market remained slow.

Are IPOs slowing down? ›

The Americas and EMEIA IPO markets had a bright start in 2024, pushing global IPO proceeds up by 7%. However, the global IPO activity by number continued to display a 7% YOY decline, weighed down by the usually energetic Asia-Pacific region. For Q1 2024, the global IPO market saw 287 deals raising US$23.7b.

Is now a good time for an IPO? ›

As we zero-in on year-end 2023, the IPO market appears to be opening up a little. While there is cautious optimism around this emerging trend, it's clear that the volume of transactions and valuations seen in 2020 and 2021 are unlikely to be seen again any time soon.

What is the problem with IPO? ›

The pricing of inital public offerings (IPOs) is difficult, both because there is no observable market price prior to the offering and because many of the issuing firms have little or no operating history. If the price is set too low, the issuer does not get the full advantage of its ability to raise capital.

Why you should not invest in IPOs? ›

IPOs are risky because of a variety of things. These are new companies. Many of the IPOs about which investors are excited are so new, and they don't make money. Not much is known about the company and you have to keep money in readiness to invest in those.

Why do so many IPOs fail? ›

There are a number of reasons why an IPO may fail but it often comes down to lack of planning or unrealistic expectations on the part of the company executives or their underwriting team. An overvalued IPO, for example, or a company that has shaky financials, could end up underwhelming investors once trading opens.

What happened to the IPO market? ›

The US IPO market appeared to be rejuvenating for a short while, with several high-profile companies making their public debut in September, exciting investors and sparking speculation of an impending IPO market turnaround. However, this surge in activity came to an abrupt halt in the fourth quarter of 2023.

How is the IPO market now? ›

Environment For IPO stocks

The number of U.S. IPOs dropped to 102 in 2023. The total value of shares sold fell to $15.76 billion from $20.92 billion in 2022. That's well below the 2021 high of 906 U.S. IPOs with an offering total of $286.98 billion, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Why is the IPO market frozen? ›

That trend began to taper in 2022 and continued through most of 2023, as markets went from a risk-on to a risk-off environment amid higher interest rates, inflation and heightened geopolitical uncertainty.

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