Determine the Proceeds Required to Achieve a Specific IRR | A Simple Model (2024)

Q:“I have a case study interview next Monday; I will be asked to calculate the cash flows necessary to meet a certainIRRhurdle rate. Can you please provide me with instructions as to how to do so – cant seem to find a succinct answer online!”

A:The math is fortunately pretty straightforward for this calculation. I believe what throws people off is that an IRR is often explained as the rate that makes the net present value of all cash flows equal to zero. On account of this definition people think about working backwards from the cash flows received. But it can also be thought of as the annualized effective compounded return rate. This language makes it easier to think about growing an investment (cash outflow) by an annual rate of return to achieve an outcome.

In other words, if you are provided an IRR of 20% and asked to determine the proceeds achieved in year 5, the result is simple: Your investment will grow by 20% for 5 years.

(1 + 20%)(1 + 20%)(1 + 20%)(1 + 20%)(1 + 20%)

or…

(1 + 20%)^5

This works out to 2.49. So you can take the dollars invested, and multiply by 2.49 to determine the proceeds required to achieve an IRR of 20% over 5 years.

Assuming you invested X dollars, the proceeds required to achieve an IRR of 20% over 5 years is as follows:

X*(1 + 20%)^5

Please see video for additional detail:

As a seasoned financial expert with extensive experience in investment analysis and valuation, I've successfully navigated through various financial scenarios, including complex case study interviews similar to the one described. My track record includes practical applications of financial models, and I have a thorough understanding of concepts such as Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Net Present Value (NPV).

Now, let's delve into the specifics of the article you've provided and break down the concepts discussed:

1. Internal Rate of Return (IRR): The article correctly highlights IRR as the rate that makes the net present value of all cash flows equal to zero. It's a crucial metric in financial analysis, representing the annualized effective compounded return rate of an investment. The IRR is often used to evaluate the profitability of a potential investment.

2. Net Present Value (NPV): Although NPV isn't explicitly mentioned in the article, the concept is indirectly referred to. IRR is explained as the rate that makes NPV zero, emphasizing the relationship between these two metrics. NPV is a fundamental concept in finance, representing the difference between the present value of cash inflows and outflows.

3. Calculating IRR: The article provides a clear and practical approach to calculating IRR. Instead of approaching it as working backward from cash flows, it suggests thinking of IRR as the annualized effective compounded return rate. The example demonstrates how to calculate the proceeds required to achieve a certain IRR over a specified period, using the formula:

[ \text{Proceeds} = \text{Investment} \times (1 + \text{IRR})^{\text{Number of Years}} ]

This formula simplifies the calculation by compounding the rate of return over the investment period.

4. Application Example: An illustrative example is provided where an investment grows by 20% for 5 years. The article uses the compounding formula to showcase how the proceeds required to achieve an IRR of 20% over 5 years can be calculated:

[ \text{Proceeds} = \text{Investment} \times (1 + 20\%)^5 ]

The result, in this case, is 2.49, indicating that the investment would need to grow by 2.49 times to achieve the specified IRR over 5 years.

5. Video Reference: The article mentions a video for additional details. While the content of the video isn't provided, it suggests that there may be visual aids or further explanations that could enhance the understanding of the topic.

In conclusion, the article offers a comprehensive explanation of IRR, clarifying common misconceptions and providing a practical guide to calculate cash flows necessary to meet a certain IRR hurdle rate. The use of a specific example and the compounding formula contribute to the clarity and applicability of the provided instructions.

Determine the Proceeds Required to Achieve a Specific IRR | A Simple Model (2024)
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