Choosing a Valuation Model (2024)

Now, since we are aware that there are actually multiple models that can be used to value any given company or asset, the next question that arises is which one should we use? How do we know whether a given valuation model is more appropriate for a given company than the others? The answer is that we don’t know for sure. Because valuation is an art all we have are broad guidelines which we can follow while selecting a given valuation model.

Let’s look at some of those guidelines in this article:

Characteristics of the Company:

The first and most important factor is the characteristics of the company that is being valued. Consider the fact that we can value a company like Ford Automobiles based on the amount of assets that they control. However, we cannot use the same technique to value a company like Google. Most assets controlled by Google are intellectual and intangible. If they are not complete they may have no use for the acquirer. Hence, the first factor that needs to be determined is whether the company can be subject to valuation based on its assets. If the company has assets that only they can acquire benefit from or if the assets are largely intangible, the asset valuation model needs to be ruled out.

Next, we also need to consider whether or not a company pays dividends. Utility companies for instance have always paid dividends and are likely to do so in the foreseeable future. On the other hand, companies like Microsoft have not paid dividends for a large part of their existence. Hence, while utility companies can be subjected to discounted dividends valuation, companies like Microsoft cannot be valued in the same manner.

Lastly, the purpose of the analysis must be clear to the person conducting the valuation exercise. The valuation for a short term investment will be different from a long term one. Hence, companies that have competitive advantage can be given a higher premium in the short run in the absence of any threat from the competition.

Characteristics of the Investor:

It may not seem that obvious, but the characteristics of the investor also play a big role in which model needs to be selected for valuation.

For instance, consider the case of a retail investor. A retail investor does have ownership of the asset. However, they do not have control over the assets. Hence, they are at the mercy of the dividend policy of the company and cannot predict their cash flows in any other manner. In this case, a discounted dividend approach may be more suitable as compared to other approaches.

Now, consider the case of an institutional investor. Institutional investors have deep pockets and are capable of buying a stake which is large enough to get the management to change the dividend payout policy. In this case, the discounted dividend model may not be very applicable. Instead what matters is the amount of free cash flow that can be generated by the company. Hence institutional investors tend to use discounted free cash flow models more often.

Lastly, if a competing firm makes an acquisition, then they can not only influence the dividend payout policy but the day to day functioning of the firm. Hence valuation here will be more accurate if the discounted residual income model is used.

Purpose of Investment:

Lastly, the purpose of investment also plays a major role in the valuation model being chosen.

For instance, consider the case when a conglomerate company makes an acquisition in an unrelated business. Here, the value derived by the investors will be directly related to the value of the assets themselves. The concept of synergy and the increase in value may not be applicable there.

On the other hand, if a competing firm makes an acquisition, they can benefit from the economies of scale and other synergies that come with the acquisition of a business. Hence in this case the concept of synergy may also be applicable.

Also, sometimes investors acquire private companies, only to make an exit by taking them public later on. In such case the valuation will totally depend on the retail investor’s perception of value of that company. Hence, a different valuation model may have to be used.

Multiple Models:

An important point to note is that investors often use multiple models to derive the valuation of a company, instead of using a single model. The benefit of using multiple models is that the analyst can verify whether they are getting the same or similar measures of value from all models.

If the estimates are not similar, they will still gain a better understanding as to what the root cause of the higher valuation is and whether it is worth the additional premium.

Hence, using multiple valuation models is always preferred to coming up with a valuation based on a single model.


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Choosing a Valuation Model (2)The article is Written By “Prachi Juneja” and Reviewed By Management Study Guide Content Team. MSG Content Team comprises experienced Faculty Member, Professionals and Subject Matter Experts. We are a ISO 2001:2015 Certified Education Provider. To Know more, click on About Us. The use of this material is free for learning and education purpose. Please reference authorship of content used, including link(s) to ManagementStudyGuide.com and the content page url.



As a seasoned expert in the field of company valuation, it's evident from my extensive experience and in-depth knowledge of various valuation models that determining the appropriate model is a nuanced decision influenced by multiple factors. Let's dissect the concepts presented in the article to reinforce the understanding of valuation methodologies.

Characteristics of the Company:

  1. Asset Valuation vs. Intangible Assets:

    • Valuing a company based on assets is suitable for companies like Ford, which have tangible assets.
    • For companies like Google with predominantly intellectual and intangible assets, asset valuation may not be applicable.
  2. Dividend Policy:

    • Companies with consistent dividend payments, like utility companies, are candidates for discounted dividends valuation.
    • Companies like Microsoft, with sporadic or no dividend history, may not be valued using the same method.
  3. Competitive Advantage:

    • Companies with a competitive advantage can command a premium in the short run, depending on the competitive landscape.

Characteristics of the Investor:

  1. Retail Investor:

    • A retail investor, lacking control over assets, may find discounted dividend approaches more suitable due to reliance on dividend policies.
  2. Institutional Investor:

    • Institutional investors, capable of influencing management decisions, may prioritize discounted free cash flow models over dividend-based models.
  3. Competing Firms' Influence:

    • If a competing firm makes an acquisition, discounted residual income models may offer a more accurate valuation considering the potential impact on day-to-day operations.

Purpose of Investment:

  1. Conglomerate vs. Competing Firm Acquisition:

    • Conglomerate acquisitions may focus on asset value, while competing firms may benefit from synergies, influencing the choice of valuation model.
  2. Exit Strategy for Private Companies:

    • The purpose of investment, such as acquiring private companies for later public offerings, may necessitate a valuation model aligned with retail investors' perceptions.

Multiple Models:

  • Diversification of Valuation Models:
    • Investors often employ multiple models to cross-verify valuations.
    • Divergent estimates prompt a deeper analysis to understand the reasons behind variations and assess the validity of the premium.

Conclusion:

In the complex landscape of company valuation, a one-size-fits-all approach doesn't suffice. The decision on which model to use is influenced by the unique characteristics of the company, the investor, and the purpose of the investment. Furthermore, the prudent use of multiple models allows for a more comprehensive and insightful valuation process, providing a holistic understanding of the company's worth in the market.

By considering these factors, investors and analysts can navigate the intricacies of company valuation with greater precision and confidence.

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