China to overtake US as world's largest economy: Report (2024)

Business News/ News / World/ China to overtake US as world's largest economy: Report

1 min read 24 Feb 2023, 06:10 AM ISTEdited By Alka Jain

Chinese President Xi Jinping's hopes of transforming China into the pre-eminent global digital power, while surpassing the US to become the number one economy in the world.

China to overtake US as world's largest economy: Report (11)Premium

The United States has restricted exports of critical semiconductor components and technology to China, Beijing's bid to topple Washington as the No 1 economy faces 'unprecedented' pressure, according to The Star reports.

Despite having the world's strongest industrial manufacturing capability, core technologies like China's Achilles' heel are easy prey for Washington in its strategy of tech containment.

Chinese President Xi Jinping's hopes of transforming China into the pre-eminent global digital power, while surpassing the US to become the number one economy in the world, could fall apart, The Star reported as quoted by ANI.

Jun Zhang, an associate professor of economic geography at the University of Toronto said, "Chips are the foundation of the modern economy. There's a rough estimate that a yuan worth of chips can support 10 yuan worth of electrical capacity and generate 100 yuan's economic output."

The professor also said that China faces unprecedented pressure from the US and its international competitiveness depends to some extent on how far American containment will go.

"These sanctions will hobble China's semiconductor advances," said Dan Wang, an analyst with Gavekal Dragonomics.

Meanwhile, US President Joe Biden signed into law the bipartisan Chips and Science Act of 2022 last August to bolster American semiconductor development through federal subsidies worth USD 52.7 billion.

His administration then significantly expanded its list of technological controls on China in October, with a focus on advanced semiconductor chips, chip-making software, and tech talent, reported The Star.

The containment efforts were accelerated last month when the US joined hands with the Netherlands and Japan to limit the supply of cutting-edge chipmaking equipment to China.

Further complicating the situation, the European Union (EU) is expected to pass the EU Chips Act later this year. The legislation hopes to double Europe's share of global chip manufacturing capacity to roughly 20 percent.

Beijing has made no official estimate for potential economic losses, but it has criticized Washington for misusing its market dominance.

(With ANI inputs)

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Updated: 24 Feb 2023, 06:10 AM IST

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China to overtake US as world's largest economy: Report (2024)

FAQs

China to overtake US as world's largest economy: Report? ›

China to surpass US to become number one economy in the world. The United States has restricted exports of critical semiconductor components and technology to China, Beijing's bid to topple Washington as the No 1 economy faces 'unprecedented' pressure, according to The Star reports.

Is China going to surpass the US economy? ›

This might be surprising since China is currently the second largest economy in the world and is poised to overtake the size of the US economy by 2050.

When did Will China overtake the US as the world's leading economic power? ›

China is forecast to overtake the US as the world's largest economy by around 2035, while India is expected to become the world's second largest by 2075.

When China will become the largest economy in the world? ›

China will become the global economy's biggest growth driver in the next 5 years, doubling the US contribution, IMF says. The IMF said China will be the largest driver of global economic growth in the next five years.

Will China's GDP surpass the US around 2035? ›

TOKYO – China is expected to overtake the United States by 2035 to become the world's largest economy, based on both countries' current growth trajectories, said prominent Chinese economist Zhu Min, a former deputy chief of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Will China surpass the US in military air superiority? ›

China is on pace to surpass the United States in 5th generation fighter production, a dynamic shift with significant implications for the balance of air power in the Pacific.

Does China owe the US money? ›

As of January 2023, the five countries owning the most US debt are Japan ($1.1 trillion), China ($859 billion), the United Kingdom ($668 billion), Belgium ($331 billion), and Luxembourg ($318 billion).

How much does the US owe China? ›

Top Foreign Holders of U.S. Debt
RankCountryU.S. Treasury Holdings
1🇯🇵 Japan$1,076B
2🇨🇳 China$867B
3🇬🇧 United Kingdom$655B
4🇧🇪 Belgium$354B
6 more rows
Mar 24, 2023

Which country will rule the world in 2025? ›

According to a recent report by Harvard University, “From economic complexity growth estimates, India is growing at the annual list at the rate of 7.9 percent as the fastest growing country for the coming decade.

Which economy is better China or USA? ›

The U.S. currently has the largest economy in the world by far with $23 trillion in 2021 GDP, according to the World Bank's data, while China has the second-largest GDP at $18 trillion and India the sixth-largest at $3 trillion.

Is China richer than the US? ›

The United States is the richest country in the world with the highest GDP, as of 2021. China is the second richest country in the world with a $17.734 trillion GDP.

Which country will be the richest in 2050? ›

Richest Country in 2050 will be United Kingdom

The United Kingdom's Gross Domestic Product in 2050 is estimated to be 3.58 trillion US dollars, with a per capita income of 49,412 US dollars. The present gap between the British economic wealth and Germany's economic wealth will contract significantly.

Which country will be richest in 2030? ›

GDP forecast 2030
  • 1 92.5 China. $ 43.879 Tn 2030.
  • 2 60.5 United States. $ 28.708 Tn 2030.
  • 3 37.8 — India. $ 17.948 Tn 2030.
  • 4 13.3 Japan. $ 6.337 Tn 2030.
  • 5 12.5 Indonesia. $ 5.951 Tn 2030.
  • 6 10.4 Russia. $ 4.973 Tn 2030.
  • 7 6.8 South Korea. $ 3.282 Tn 2030.
  • 8 +4 4.5 Pakistan. $ 2.159 Tn 2030.

Which country will overtake China by 2050? ›

According to Policy Brief No. 153 from the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA), entitled “India overtakes China as the world's most populous country”, between 2023 and 2050, the number of persons aged 65 or over is expected to nearly double in China and to increase by more than double in ...

Is China in a debt crisis? ›

China's $23 Trillion Local Debt Crisis Threatens Xi's Economy - Bloomberg.

Which country is projected to overtake the USA as the world's largest economy by 2040? ›

By 2040, India's gross domestic product in PPP terms will grow to $30 trillion from $8.7 trillion in 2016, while US will grow from $18.6 trillion to $28.3 trillion, said the PwC report titled “The World in 2050”. China will continue to lead the chart with its GDP rising from $21.3 trillion to $47.4 trillion by 2040.

Could China defeat the US navy? ›

An American naval expert has warned US military planners that the US Navy might lose to China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) Navy, which enjoys a substantial numerical advantage over the US, saying, “the side with the most ships almost always wins.”

Is the US navy more advanced than China? ›

China has overtaken the United States when it comes to the sheer size of its navy. While the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has around 340 ships, the US Navy has under 300 ships. But experts say US remains ahead in key metrics such as tonnage and firepower.

What happens if China and US go to war? ›

A war would halt this trade (as well as American and allied shipments to China). U.S. supplies of many products could soon run low, paralyzing a vast range of businesses. It could take months to restore trade, and emergency rationing of some items would be needed.

What if China dumps U.S. debt? ›

If the China bloc disposes of net foreign assets amounting to more than 20% of GDP by offloading US bloc bonds over 10 years, the IMF finds that the China bloc's domestic interest rates would fall by four basis points.

What happens if China sells U.S. debt? ›

Since the U.S. dollar has a variable exchange rate, however, any sale by any nation holding huge U.S. debt or dollar reserves will trigger the adjustment of the trade balance at the international level. The offloaded U.S. reserves by China will either end up with another nation or will return back to the U.S.

How much does Russia owe the US? ›

How much does Russia owe? About $40 billion US in foreign bonds, about half of that to foreigners. Before the start of the war, Russia had around $640 billion US in foreign currency and gold reserves, much of which was held overseas and is now frozen.

What country holds the most U.S. debt? ›

According to usafacts.org, as of January 2023, Japan owned $1.1 trillion in US Treasuries, making it the largest foreign holder of the national debt. The second-largest holder is China, which owned $859 billion of US debt.

Which country owe the most debt to China? ›

At the end of 2021, of the 98 countries for whom data was available, Pakistan ($27.4bn of external debt to China), Angola (22.0bn), Ethiopia (7.4bn), Kenya (7.4bn) and Sri Lanka (7.2bn) held the biggest debts to China.

Who owns most of the US debt? ›

Domestic Holders of Federal Debt

The Federal Reserve, which purchases and sells Treasury securities as a means to influence federal interest rates and the nation's money supply, is the largest holder of such debt.

What is Russia's prediction for China? ›

Trade between Russia and China is expected to hit a new record level of $200 billion this year, according to Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin during his trip to China, as Moscow faces growing isolation from the West.

Who will rule the world in 2050? ›

While challenges remain, most experts believe that China will be the new superpower by 2050. China GDP in 2050 is expected to be around $58.5 trillion.

Which country will dominate the world in future? ›

In 2017, Center for International Development at Harvard University, published a research study, projecting that India has emerged as the economic pole of global growth by surpassing China and is expected to maintain its lead over the 2020s.

Is China growing faster than the US? ›

China Is Growing Much Faster Than the U.S. Why It Matters for Global Power.

How in debt is China? ›

International Monetary Fund data show China's explicit local government debt nearly doubled over five years to the equivalent of $5.14 trillion — or 35.34 trillion yuan — last year.

Which is strongest economy in world? ›

According to the latest available data from the World Bank, the United States of America is currently the world's largest economy, with a GDP of over $23 trillion in 2021.

Does the US have more poverty than China? ›

To a reasonable level of accuracy there's no one in China in the bottom 10% of the world's population by wealth. And yet there's some 10% of those global poor in North America, and another 20% or so in Europe. So, yes, it really is true that there're more poor people in America (and Europe) than there are in China.

How much does China depend on the US? ›

China has shifted purchases away from the United States to reduce its reliance on US suppliers, but US farmers remain highly dependent on the Chinese market. In 2022, around 19 percent of US agriculture exports went to China, up from 14 percent in 2017 and 13 percent in 2009.

Is America the wealthiest nation in the world? ›

Yes, America is the richest country in the world, with an overall net worth of $145.8 trillion and a GDP of $25.46 trillion. America has been the richest country in the world for over 60 years.

Who will be the most powerful country in 2100? ›

The world's largest economies in 2100 – India No. 1.

What's the fastest growing country in the world? ›

India. India's GDP grew by 8.7% in 2021, reaching $3.1 trillion, making it the fastest-growing major economy in the world. Furthermore, India's per capita income has doubled in the last decade, and poverty rates have declined significantly.

Who will be the richest country in 2070? ›

1. China. What is this? It's no wonder that China will get to rule the world from an economic standpoint in the near future.

Who are the 5 superpowers in the world? ›

China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States are often referred to as great powers by academics due to "their political and economic dominance of the global arena". These five nations are the only states to have permanent seats with veto power on the UN Security Council.

What is the future largest economy in the world? ›

China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world's largest economy by around 2035, while India is expected to have the world's second largest by 2075, according to Goldman Sachs Research.

What is the strongest economy in the world in 2030? ›

China is set to be the world's largest economy by 2030. China's push towards robotics could mean higher productivity and even faster GDP growth. Bangladesh likely to be the biggest mover in the global GDP rankings (42nd to 26th), followed by Philippines, Pakistan and Vietnam...

Which country will replace China? ›

With their competitive labor costs, well-developed infrastructure, and ever-improving production processes, these countries are increasingly attractive options for businesses around the world. As such, it looks like India and Vietnam are well on their way to replacing China as the go-to for global manufacturers.

Which country is expected to overtake the United States by 2050 to become the world's third largest country? ›

Consequently, the population of Nigeria is projected to surpass that of the United States by about 2050, at which point it would become the third largest country in the world. By 2050, six countries are expected to exceed 300 million: China, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and the USA.

Which three countries will become the world's three largest economy in 2050? ›

Our projections imply that the world's five largest economies in 2050 (measured in real USD) will be China, the US, India, Indonesia, and Germany (with Indonesia displacing Brazil and Russia among the largest EMs).

What country is not in debt? ›

The 20 countries with the lowest national debt in 2022 in relation to gross domestic product (GDP)
CharacteristicNational debt in relation to GDP
Macao SAR0%
Brunei Darussalam2.06%
Kuwait2.92%
Hong Kong SAR4.26%
9 more rows
May 11, 2023

How much debt is USA in? ›

It's simple. For years, what the U.S. government spent on those things was far greater than the amount of money it had brought in to pay for them. That stacked up to that $31.4 trillion in debt we have now.

Is there any country not in debt? ›

Learning about Countries and Their Debt

The best example can be taken from Hong Kong (it is a one of the debt free countries), whose economy has the least debt to GDP ratio. It is an almost debt free country. It has a well-regulated financial system and large foreign reserves.

Will China ever overtake the US? ›

There is still much work to be done to propel China to the top of the world's economy, but it is certainly possible that the Chinese economy can surpass the power of the US by 2050. It may also be too early to make definitive projections of China's future.

Where is America's fastest growing economy? ›

GDP by State: GDP Growth Over 1 Year
RankState2021:Q4
1Hawaii$75,981,600,000
2Nevada$159,708,000,000
3California$2,946,067,200,000
4Tennessee$351,709,500,000
47 more rows
May 17, 2022

Will China overtake the US and become the world's largest economy by 2030? ›

"China would overtake the United States to become the world's largest economy in nominal US dollar terms by about 2030," the report's authors conclude. "But it would never establish a meaningful lead ... and would remain far less prosperous and productive per person than America, even by mid-century."

How will China's economy affect the US? ›

In short, China can continue to contribute to the growth of our external trade and our economic welfare associated with trade. Because China is an efficient producer of a wide range of commodities, imports from that country may also contribute to low price inflation in the United States.

Which country will be the next superpower? ›

India is expected to overtake Germany in terms of GDP in 2025 and Japan in 2027 to become the third largest economy after the U.S. and China.

What if the US stopped buying from China? ›

Answer and Explanation: It is unlikely that China's economy will collapse if U.S. stops buying Chinese goods. Trade is an important part of any economy, and a very important part of China's economy. According to the World Bank, exports account for 20% of China's gross domestic product.

Who is richer Japan or China? ›

Here are the 10 richest countries in Asia: China - $11.22 Tn. Japan - $4.94 Tn. India - $2.26 Tn.

Why does the US owe so much money to China? ›

U.S. debt to China comes in the form of U.S. Treasuries, largely due to their safety and stability. Although there are worries about China selling off U.S. debt, which would hamper economic growth, doing so in large amounts poses risks for China as well, making it unlikely to happen.

Does China rely on the US? ›

China has shifted purchases away from the United States to reduce its reliance on US suppliers, but US farmers remain highly dependent on the Chinese market. In 2022, around 19 percent of US agriculture exports went to China, up from 14 percent in 2017 and 13 percent in 2009.

What does China need from the US? ›

Aircraft, soybeans, motor vehicles and microchips are top U.S. exports to China. Since 2001, the share of these exports going to China has increased sharply. Soybeans and motor vehicles are targets of recent Chinese tariffs.

What will be the strongest country by 2050? ›

China is tipped to become the largest economy in the world, holding a 20% share of the world's GDP in terms of purchasing power parity. So its safe to say that China will be economically the most powerful country in the world in 2050.

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