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Carnival Corp
NYSE:CCL
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Price:16.49 USD-4.63% Market Closed
Updated:Jan 3, 2024
Section:
Intrinsic Value
Carnival Corp. engages in the operation of cruise ships.[ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of oneCCLstock under the Base Case scenario is30.85USD.Compared to the current market price of 16.49 USD,Carnival CorpisUndervalued by 47%.
Key Points:
CCLIntrinsic Value
Base Case
30.85USD
Undervaluation 47%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
Valuation History
Carnival Corp
Valuation History
Carnival Corp
Historical Profit
Current Valuation
Price & Value Correlation
Value CAGR
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Intrinsic Value History...
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Fundamental Analysis
Company Sets New Records, Eyes Margin Growth
2023-Q4 Earnings Call
Company Sets New Records, Eyes Margin Growth
2023-Q4 Earnings Call
Company Sets New Records, Eyes Margin Growth
The company delivered an exceptional finish to the year, with consecutive record-breaking quarters in revenue, bookings, and customer deposits, while also surpassing occupancy levels beyond 101% in North America and Europe. Occupancy and pricing are set for continued growth, with strong bookings at higher prices for the first half and peak summer periods. Additionally, the company onboarded over 3.5 million first-time cruise guests and looks forward to further expanding its fleet with several new ships on the horizon. Investments in advertising have paid off, yielding significant increases in web traffic and search visibility, which is expected to maintain. Strategic cost management and margin improvement efforts are underpinned by the guidance of over $5.5 billion in EBITDA for 2024, a substantial 30% increase from 2023, with a 4-point margin rise and a 9% ROIC.
Financials
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Carnival Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Carnival Corp
| Current Assets | 4.7B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.8B |
| Receivables | 485m |
| Other Current Assets | 1.4B |
| Non-Current Assets | 45.1B |
| PP&E | 41.2B |
| Intangibles | 1.7B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 2.1B |
| Current Liabilities | 11B |
| Accounts Payable | 1.1B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 2.2B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 7.7B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 31.8B |
| Long-Term Debt | 29.5B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.3B |
Fundamental Scores
CCL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
CCL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Carnival Corp's profitability score is29/100.The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional 1-Year Revenue Growth
ROE is Increasing
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
29/100
Profitability
Score
Carnival Corp's profitability score is29/100.The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CCL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
CCL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Carnival Corp's solvency score is26/100.The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
High D/E
26/100
Solvency
Score
Carnival Corp's solvency score is26/100.The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CCL Price Targets Summary
Carnival Corp
CCL Price Targets Summary
Carnival Corp
Wall Street analysts forecast CCL stock price to rise over the next 12 months.
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target forCCLis 17.61 USDwith a low forecast of 7.07 USD and a high forecast of 26.25 USD.
Lowest
Price Target
7.07USD
57% Downside
Average
Price Target
17.61USD
7% Upside
Highest
Price Target
26.25USD
59% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
CCL Analyst Estimates
Competitive Landscape
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Ownership
CCL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
CCL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
Cumulative Transactions Amount
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months | |||
| 6 Months | |||
| 9 Months | |||
| 12 Months |
Shareholder Return
CCL Price
Carnival Corp
CCL Price
Carnival Corp
1M1M
+1%
6M6M
-13%
1Y1Y
+107%
3Y3Y
-19%
5Y5Y
-63%
10Y10Y
-50%
Annual Price Range
16.49
52w Low
7.97
52w High
19.3
Price Metrics
| Average Annual Return | -26.18% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 40.69% |
| Max Drawdown | -89% |
Shares Statistics
| Market Capitalization | 20.8BUSD |
| Shares Outstanding | 1 265 710 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 11.35% |
CCL News
Last Video News
Carnival Corp
Last Video News
Carnival Corp
Other Videos
Last Important Events
Carnival Corp
Last Important Events
Carnival Corp
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
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Sentiment Analysis
Carnival Corp
Sentiment Analysis
Carnival Corp
Today
Last 7 Days
Last 30 Days
Last 90 Days
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Company Profile
Carnival Corp
Country
United States of America
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Market Cap
20.8B USD
Dividend Yield
15.93%
Description
Carnival Corp. engages in the operation of cruise ships. The company is headquartered in Miami, Florida and currently employs 39,000 full-time employees. The firm operates in North America, Australia, Europe, and Asia. Its portfolio features Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, Seabourn, P&O Cruises (Australia), Costa Cruises, AIDA Cruises, P&O Cruises (United Kingdom) and Cunard. Its segment includes North America and Australia (NAA), Europe and Asia (EA), Cruise Support and Tour and Other. Its NAA segment includes Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia) and Seabourn. Its EAA segment includes Costa Cruises (Costa), AIDA Cruises (AIDA), P&O Cruises (United Kingdom) and Cunard. Its Cruise Support segment includes its portfolio of port destinations and other services. Its Tour and Other segment represent the hotel and transportation operations of Holland America Princess Alaska Tours. The firm's geographic areas include United States, Canada, Continental Europe, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, and United Kingdom.
Contact
IPO
1987-07-31
Employees
39 000
Officers
Exec. Chairman
Mr. Micky Meir Arison
CFO & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. David Bernstein
Gen. Counsel
Mr. Enrique Miguez
Sr. VP & Company Sec.
Mr. Arnaldo Perez
Group Chief Exec. Officer of Costa Group & Carnival Asia
Mr. Michael Olaf Thamm
Pres, CEO, Chief Climate Officer & Director
Mr. Josh Weinstein
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Chief Information Officer
Mr. Gregory A. Sullivan
Sr. VP of Investor Relations
Ms. Beth Roberts
Chief Risk & Compliance Officer
Mr. Richard Brilliant
Chief Communications Officer
Ms. Jody Venturoni
Show Less
See Also
Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CCL stock?
The intrinsic value of oneCCLstock under the Base Case scenario is30.85USD.
Is CCL stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared to the current market price of 16.49 USD,Carnival CorpisUndervalued by 47%.
What are valuation scenarios?
The intrinsic value depends on the future of the company. But the future is not predetermined. As is the intrinsic value.
There is no absolute intrinsic value. The true value lies somewhere between the worst case and best case scenarios. Knowing the full range of possible stock intrinsic values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.
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What is valuation range?
The intrinsic value depends on the future of the company. But the future is not predetermined. As is the intrinsic value.
Because of this, the intrinsic value is not an absolute number, but rather a range. We present this range in a form of a bear, base and bull case scenarios.
Knowing the full range of possible stock intrinsic values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.
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What is historical valuation?
Unlock insights into a stock's past with the Historical Valuation tool, charting the critical junctions where market price and intrinsic value converge and diverge.
This feature isn’t just a window into history; it's a lens focusing on the patterns that signal opportunity and risk, vital for sharpening your investment strategies.
Key Benefits:
Investment Simulation
Leverage historical profit figures to simulate and validate a value investment strategy, refining your approach with solid historical benchmarks.
Spot Contrarian Opportunities
Look for stocks that have been historically overvalued but are now trading below their intrinsic value.
Easily Identify Value Traps
Avoid stocks that are always undervalued and never reach their intrinsic value.
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This content is created using AI
This content is created using advanced artificial intelligence technology. While we strive for accuracy, this text should be used as a supplementary resource and not as a sole basis for decision-making. Always consider consulting additional sources for comprehensive financial analysis.
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Why insider trading information is important
Insiders might sell their shares for any number of reasons, but they buy them for only one: they think the price will rise.
Peter Lynch
It isn't a coincidence that corporate executives seem to always buy at the right times. After all, they have access to every bit of company information you could ever want. However, the fact that company executives have unique insights doesn't mean that individual investors are always left in the dark. Insider trading data is out there for all who want to use it.
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What is price return decomposition?
Introduction
Price return decomposition is a method of analyzing the factors that contribute to the changes in the market capitalization of a company.
The price return decomposition breaks down the market cap return into two main components: the change in the price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple and the change in company earnings (as well as the change in revenue and net margin).
Change in P/E multiple
The change in the P/E multiple reflects the effect of changes in investor expectations and sentiment towards the company. A higher P/E multiple means that investors are willing to pay more for each dollar of earnings, indicating higher expectations for future growth. Conversely, a lower P/E multiple indicates lower expectations.
Change in Earnings, Revenue, and Net Margin
The change in earnings, on the other hand, represents the actual changes in the company's earnings over the given period.
The change in revenue and net margin are two other factors that can impact a company's market cap. An increase in revenue indicates that the company is generating more sales, while an improvement in net margin indicates that the company is becoming more efficient and generating more profit from each dollar of sales.
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