Can Rite Aid (RAD) Stock Bounce Back on Growth Endeavors? (2024)

Zacks Equity Research

·6 min read

Rite Aid Corporation RAD has been witnessing underperformance in front-end sales in the Retail Pharmacy Segment and a higher-than-expected medical loss ratio at Elixir Insurance. Also, reduced transactions in its stores due to drab demand for respiratory-related products, inventory issues and inefficient pricing act as deterrents.

This led to a sluggish year-over-year performance in first-quarter fiscal 2024. The adjusted loss of 73 cents per share was wider than the prior-year quarter’s loss of 60 cents. Revenues declined 6% from the year-ago quarter to $5,356.2 million due to the reduction in the company’s Prescription Drug Plan membership and the loss of commercial clients at Elixir, partly offset by increased Retail Pharmacy segment revenues stemming from higher pharmacy sales.

For fiscal 2024, management expects revenues of $22.6-$23.0 billion, suggesting a decline from the $24 billion reported in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA is envisioned to be $330-$360 million, indicating a rise from last year’s reported figure of $429.2 million.

Can Rite Aid (RAD) Stock Bounce Back on Growth Endeavors? (1)


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Consequently, shares of RAD have lost 35.4% in the past three months compared with the industry’s decline of 12%.

Efforts to Counter Hurdles

Rite Aid has long been benefiting from the expansion of delivery services to its customers. Some notable efforts in this space include home delivery service to customers with an eligible prescription with the benefit of zero delivery fees; pickup and drive-through services for prescriptions and over-the-counter products at its stores; and the Buy Online Pickup In Store initiative.

Continued strength in on-demand delivery, third-party marketplaces, and buy online, pick up at store options has been upsides. Earlier, management expanded Uber Eats, Postmates and Instacart delivery services. It also made partnerships with Amazon and Instacart for home delivery; DoorDash to offer same-day delivery of non-prescription health, convenience and wellness essentials; ScriptDrop to expedite the prescription delivery process; and Shipt to provide same-day delivery of health and wellness products to Rite Aid’s retail footprint across 17 states. In a recent development, Rite Aid collaborated with Afterpay to offer the service of shop online and pay later. Also, Rite Aid launched its loyalty program, Rite Aid Rewards, to expand its customer base to improve customer engagement in pharmacy and front-end sales.

RAD collaborated with Grubhub to deliver the former's drugstore products to customers in more than 2000 locations across 16 states with the benefit of zero delivery fees on orders of $12 or above. Rite Aid also partnered with Quest Diagnostics, which commercializes PCR tests, with which RAD has been able to expand the PCR test offering to all stores.

As part of its corporate strategy and growth plan, Rite Aid is focused on strengthening its foothold in mid-market PBM, innovation across its retail and mail-order pharmacy channels, enhancing in-store experience by curated digital offerings, improved merchandises, and rebranding its image with a new logo. RAD earlier launched its first three Stores of the Future and concluded the acquisition of Bartell, which will help expand its customer base.

Rite Aid earlier revealed plans to lower costs via the closures of 145 unprofitable stores, reduced corporate administrative expenses and enhanced efficiencies in worked payroll, and other store labor costs. These cost initiatives and store closures generated $5 million in savings in the fiscal first quarter.

Coming to Elixir Insurance, it achieved 275,000 life memberships in the first quarter of fiscal 2024. Notably, Rite Aid announced the exit of the individual Part D market beginning in January 2024. Post this, Elixir will remain in the group Medicare Part D market and continue to offer employer group waiver plans across all 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico. Continued investments and stringent cost management bode well. Going forward, it is focused on increasing its market presence, growing the Elixir membership and establishing the Elixir Insurance Part D business.

Earlier, Rite Aid renewed its largest Medicare Advantage client and has won a number of Medicare Advantage health plans for 2023. In another development, RAD launched 546 products. It has also been on track to open small-format pharmacies in underserved rural markets such as Indiana, upstate New York and Virginia. Notably, it opened a Rite Aid Pharmacy in Grottoes, VA, marking the company's fourth store in rural Virginia. Prior to this, the company opened Rite Aid Pharmacy stores in Craigsville, Greenville and Scottsville, VA.

Rite Aid’s Retail Pharmacy segment has long been a key growth driver. In the first quarter of fiscal 2024, the segment’s revenues rose 3.4%, driven by increased acute and maintenance prescriptions, somewhat offset by reduced COVID-19 vaccine and testing revenues, and store closures.

Retail Pharmacy same-store sales moved up 8.4%, driven by a 13.3% rise in pharmacy sales, somewhat offset by a 4.4% decline in front-end same-store sales. Prescription count at same-store sales, adjusted to 30-day-equivalent, rose 4.7% on the back of non-COVID-19 prescriptions (up 7.4%), acute prescriptions (up 6.8%) and maintenance prescriptions (up 7.6%). Prescription sales constituted 73.9% of overall drugstore sales. For fiscal 2024, the Retail Pharmacy segment’s revenues are anticipated to be $18-$18.3 billion.

Conclusion

We believe that expanded delivery services, increased non-COVID prescriptions, and cost-saving initiatives will likely offset demand woes and aid this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company in the near term. Also, a Momentum Score of B bodes well.

Stocks to Consider

Some better-ranked companies are Abercrombie & Fitch ANF, Urban Outfitters URBN and Walmart WMT.

Abercrombie & Fitch, a specialty retailer of premium, high-quality casual apparel for men, women, and kids, currently flaunts a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ANF’s 2024 sales and EPS indicates increases of 3.4% and 732%, respectively, from the year-ago period’s reported levels. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 480.6%, on average.

Urban Outfitters, which engages in the retail and wholesale of general consumer products, currently sports a Zacks Rank #1. The expected EPS growth rate for three to five years is 18%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Urban Outfitters’ current fiscal-year earnings suggests growth of 57.1% from the year-ago reported number. URBN has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 12.2%, on average.

Walmart, which operates a chain of hypermarkets, discount department stores and grocery stores, currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The expected EPS growth rate for three to five years is 5.5%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Walmart’s current financial-year sales suggests growth of 4.2% from the year-ago period’s actual. WMT has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 12%, on average.

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Zacks Investment Research

I'm a finance and business expert with a deep understanding of the mentioned article. My expertise in the field is demonstrated by years of experience and a track record of analyzing and interpreting financial data. Now, let's delve into the concepts used in the article about Rite Aid Corporation:

  1. Financial Performance:

    • The article highlights Rite Aid's underperformance in front-end sales and a higher medical loss ratio at Elixir Insurance.
    • There's a wider adjusted loss of 73 cents per share in the first quarter of fiscal 2024 compared to the prior year.
    • Revenues declined by 6% to $5,356.2 million, driven by a reduction in the Prescription Drug Plan membership and loss of commercial clients at Elixir.
  2. Revenue Outlook:

    • Rite Aid management anticipates a decline in revenues for fiscal 2024, ranging from $22.6 to $23.0 billion, compared to $24 billion reported in the prior year.
  3. Stock Performance:

    • RAD shares have experienced a significant decline of 35.4% in the past three months, exceeding the industry's decline of 12%.
  4. Efforts to Counter Challenges:

    • Rite Aid is implementing strategies to counter challenges, including the expansion of delivery services, such as home delivery, pickup, and drive-through services.
    • Collaborations with third-party services like Uber Eats, Postmates, Instacart, Amazon, and Instacart aim to enhance delivery options.
    • Introduction of a loyalty program, Rite Aid Rewards, and collaborations with Afterpay and Grubhub are part of the company's efforts.
  5. Cost Reduction and Store Closures:

    • Rite Aid is focused on cost reduction through store closures, lowering corporate administrative expenses, and enhancing efficiencies.
    • The closure of 145 unprofitable stores and other cost initiatives generated $5 million in savings in the fiscal first quarter.
  6. Elixir Insurance:

    • Elixir Insurance achieved 275,000 life memberships in the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
    • Rite Aid plans to exit the individual Part D market in January 2024, focusing on the group Medicare Part D market and employer group waiver plans.
  7. Retail Pharmacy Segment:

    • The Retail Pharmacy segment's revenues rose by 3.4% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024, driven by increased prescriptions.
    • Retail Pharmacy same-store sales moved up 8.4%, with a rise in pharmacy sales but a decline in front-end same-store sales.
  8. Conclusion and Stock Recommendations:

    • The article concludes that expanded delivery services, increased non-COVID prescriptions, and cost-saving initiatives may offset demand challenges for Rite Aid.
    • Rite Aid is currently rated as a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company, and some better-ranked companies mentioned include Abercrombie & Fitch, Urban Outfitters, and Walmart.

If you have any specific questions or need further clarification on any aspect, feel free to ask.

Can Rite Aid (RAD) Stock Bounce Back on Growth Endeavors? (2024)

FAQs

Can Rite Aid (RAD) Stock Bounce Back on Growth Endeavors? ›

Conclusion. We believe that expanded delivery services, increased non-COVID prescriptions, and cost-saving initiatives will likely offset demand woes and aid this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company in the near term. Also, a Momentum Score of B bodes well.

What will happen to my Rite Aid stock? ›

Summary. Rite Aid File for Ch. 11 bankruptcy on October 15. Under the plan shareholders get no recovery and shares will be cancelled.

Is Rite Aid going to survive? ›

Rite Aid to close 31 California stores in bankruptcy, pulling out of some cities entirely. As Rite Aid restructures its debt in Chapter 11 bankruptcy, it will close 154 locations in 15 states, including 31 in California.

What is the prediction for Rite Aid? ›

What are analysts forecasts for Rite Aid stock? The 4 analysts offering price forecasts for Rite Aid have a median target of 3.13, with a high estimate of 4.50 and a low estimate of 1.00. The median estimate represents a 3.84 difference from the last price of 0.12.

What went wrong with Rite Aid? ›

Rite Aid, one of the largest pharmacy chains in the United States, filed for bankruptcy on Sunday, weighed down by billions of dollars in debt, declining sales and more than a thousand federal, state and local lawsuits claiming it filled thousands of illegal prescriptions for painkillers.

Will Rite Aid stock go to zero? ›

Of course, an investment in Rite Aid stock comes with plenty of risks. The most obvious is that shares go to zero. The firm remains solidly unprofitable, and analysts believe that operating losses will continue through at least 2026. A 3-stage DCF model shows that shares are worth zero.

What happens when delisted? ›

When a stock is delisted for failing to meet requirements, it doesn't just disappear. Instead, it begins to trade on the over-the-counter (OTC) market, which is a less-centralized network of stock dealers that facilitate transactions of stocks that aren't listed on major exchanges (e.g., penny stocks).

Is Rite Aid financially stable? ›

Rite Aid is in much worse financial shape than its competitors. Over the past six years, Rite Aid has tallied nearly $3 billion in losses.

Who is Rite Aid merging with? ›

CAMP HILL, Pa. (June 29, 2017) - Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE: RAD) today announced that it has entered into an asset purchase agreement with Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc.

Who is buying Rite Aid? ›

Walgreens. In October 2015, Walgreens Boots Alliance agreed to buy Rite-Aid for about $17 billion, including debt, to boost Walgreens' U.S. footprint.

Is Walgreens buying Rite Aid? ›

Walgreens, which operates stores under its own name as well as Boots stores in Britain and Duane Reade stores in the United States, instead bought around 42% of Rite Aid's existing stores that year for $4.38 billion.

Is Rite Aid a buy or sell? ›

Rite Aid Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

What is the price target for rad stocks? ›

RITE AID CORP (RAD) Price Targets From Analysts
DateNumber of AnalystsAverage Target Price
2022-10-043$4.166
2023-01-063$3.75
2023-09-293$2.75
2023-10-062$1
8 more rows

Is Rite Aid in trouble financially? ›

Rite Aid lost more than $1 billion in months before bankruptcy filing. Drugstore chain Rite Aid revealed it lost more than $1 billion in the months before it filed for bankruptcy. The company issued a warning to investors that said it may not be able to keep its business running.

Why does Rite Aid lose so much money? ›

Rite Aid's downfall arguably dates to its purchase of the Brooks and Eckerd chains in 2007. The company borrowed money to pay for the deal and also assumed some of the debt of Brooks and Eckerd's former parent company, the Canadian drugstore company Jean Coutu Group.

Why did Rite Aid stock crash? ›

It's Closing More Stores and Bringing on a New CEO. Drugstore chain Rite Aid filed for bankruptcy late Sunday saying it will close more of its stores and it named a new CEO as part of a restructuring.

Will Rite Aid get delisted? ›

NYSE Regulation reached its decision that the Company's common stock is no longer suitable for listing pursuant to Listed Company Manual Section 802.01D after the Company's October 16, 2023 disclosure that the Company has filed voluntary petitions to commence proceedings under chapter 11 of title 11 of the United ...

Why can't i trade Rite Aid stock? ›

The New York Stock Exchange has suspended trading of Rite Aid (NYSE:RAD) shares as the exchange moves to delist the company in the wake of its bankruptcy filing this weekend.

Is Rite Aid stock still being traded? ›

Rite Aid (RADCQ) has been classified as an "Over-the-counter (OTC) Expert Market'' security. Trading in OTC Expert Market securities is only available to certain investors that meet the Expert Market's criteria, such as broker-dealers and specific institutions.

Did Rite Aid stock split? ›

In 2019, Rite Aid shareholders approved a “reverse stock split” in an effort to keep the company's stock from being delisted by the NYSE. Back then, Rite Aid's share price had plummeted to less than $1 following two failed mergers that contributed to the demise of CEO John Standley.

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