Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023 (2024)

Lucas Downey

·2 min read

Recession fears are swirling. And that means investors are worried about bear markets.

There are three sectors that tend to outperform when the S&P 500 declines 20% or more: Staples, Healthcare, and Utilities.

Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023 (1)

Source: www.mapsignals.com

When times get tough, investors flock to steady, defensive areas of the market. Let’s zero in on 3 ETFs that can outperform if markets hit the bear market.

Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) Analysis

First is the Consumer Staples ETF (XLP). The fund is packed with everyday companies consumers have grown to love. Below is a 1-year chart of XLP with big volume buy and sell signals.

It’s been choppy in 2022, but it managed to only fall .83% last year compared to the S&P 500 (SPY ETF) falling just over 18%.

Source: www.mapsignals.com

XLP offers an attractive forward dividend yield of 2.68%. One attractive holding in the ETF is the iconic beverage company Coca-Cola (KO). It sports a 3% dividend yield and makes up 10.3% of XLP.

Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023 (3)

Source: www.mapsignals.com

Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) Analysis

The next area that can thrive in a recession is the Health Care space. The defensive nature makes it a great allocation for investors concerned about the spending habits of the consumer.

The Health Care Select SPDR Fund (XLV) offers a forward dividend yield of 1.68% and is an easy way to get broad-based healthcare exposure. Recently the fund has been gaining in price as volumes surged – indicative of institutional support.

Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023 (4)

Source: www.mapsignals.com

A top holding (8.91%) in the ETF is pharmaceutical giant Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). The company has a rich history of dividend growth and currently sports a forward dividend yield of 2.77%. Also, the stock has been under accumulation recently.

Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023 (5)

Source: www.mapsignals.com

Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) Analysis

Then there’s the high-yielding utilities sector that can offer stability in a recession. Consumers tend to keep the lights on regardless of what’s happening in the economy.

A great way to get exposure to the group is with the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF (XLU). The fund offers a 3.12% forward dividend yield, and has recently seen accumulation activity recently.

Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023 (6)

Source: www.mapsignals.com

Inside the ETF is Duke Energy Corp. (DUK) with a 7.8% weighting. The power company has an attractive forward yield of 4.05% and also has seen buy activity in the shares:

Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023 (7)

Source: www.mapsignals.com

Bottom Line and Explanatory Video

XLP, XLV, & XLU represent top recession ETFs in 2023 in my opinion. History suggests these sectors can outperform in bear markets. Healthy dividend yields and strong underlying businesses in the funds can mean ballast for a defensive portfolio.

To learn more about MAPsignals’ Big Money process please visit: www.mapsignals.com

Disclosure: As of the time of this writing, the author holds no positions in XLP, XLV, XLU, KO, JNJ, or DUK at the time of this writing.

This article was originally posted on FX Empire

More From FXEMPIRE:

Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023 (2024)

FAQs

Best 3 ETFs to Buy in a Recession 2023? ›

XLP, XLV, & XLU represent top recession ETFs in 2023 in my opinion. History suggests these sectors can outperform in bear markets. Healthy dividend yields and strong underlying businesses in the funds can mean ballast for a defensive portfolio.

What are the best ETFs to buy in a recession? ›

5 ETFs to Hedge Against a Stock Market Crash
ETFExpense ratio
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (ticker: SQQQ)0.95%
ProShares Short S&P 500 (SH)0.88%
AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF (HDGE)4.29%
Toews Agility Managed Risk ETF (MRSK)0.97%
1 more row
Nov 28, 2023

What is the most profitable ETF in 2023? ›

The 10 Best-Performing ETFs of 2023
TickerFundYTD Return
IBLCiShares Blockchain and Tech ETF46.67%
SATOInvesco Alerian Galaxy Crypto Economy ETF46.41%
XBTFVanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF40.23%
BITOProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF39.75%
6 more rows

What is an ETF that goes up when the market goes down? ›

An inverse ETF is set up so that its price rises (or falls) when the price of its target asset falls (or rises). This means the ETF performs inversely to the asset it's tracking. For example, an inverse ETF may be based on the S&P 500 index. The ETF is designed to rise as the index falls in value.

Should you buy ETFs during a recession? ›

Investors looking to weather a recession can use exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as one way to reduce risk through diversification. ETFs that specialize in consumer staples and non-cyclicals outperformed the broader market during the Great Recession and are likely to persevere in future downturns.

What is the ETF with the highest return? ›

100 Highest 5 Year ETF Returns
SymbolName5-Year Return
QQQInvesco QQQ Trust Series I18.25%
IGMiShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF18.06%
IWYiShares Russell Top 200 Growth ETF17.93%
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF17.29%
93 more rows

What is the best Vanguard fund in a recession? ›

The Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT, $245.85) is tops among all bear market ETFs period, and it's certainly one of the safest Vanguard funds to put to use in a bear market.

What are the top 5 ETF to invest in 2023? ›

These are VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF SMH, Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF QQQM, Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund XLC, Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF MGK, and Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF VCR. These funds are likely to continue outperforming should the existing trends prevail.

What stock has the most potential to grow in 2023? ›

Top-Performing Stocks of 2023
  • Coinbase.
  • Nvidia.
  • DraftKings DKNG.
  • Meta Platforms META.
  • Palantir Technologies PLTR.
Jan 2, 2024

What are the top 10 ETFs? ›

Top sector ETFs
Fund (ticker)YTD performanceExpense ratio
Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT)8.6 percent0.10 percent
Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF)12.4 percent0.09 percent
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE)13.5 percent0.09 percent
Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI)10.8 percent0.09 percent

What is the best ETF to buy now? ›

Invest in stocks, fractional shares, and crypto all in one place.
  • ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO)
  • Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)
  • Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT)
  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)
  • Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF (XMMO)
  • SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB)
  • Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF (SPGP)
Apr 3, 2024

What is the 3 day rule in stocks? ›

In short, the 3-day rule dictates that following a substantial drop in a stock's share price — typically high single digits or more in terms of percent change — investors should wait 3 days to buy.

How do you know if an ETF is doing well? ›

Since the job of most ETFs is to track an index, we can assess an ETF's efficiency by weighing the fee rate the fund charges against how well it “tracks”—or replicates the performance of—its index. ETFs that charge low fees and track their indexes tightly are highly efficient and do their job well.

What not to invest in during a recession? ›

Most stocks and high-yield bonds tend to lose value in a recession, while lower-risk assets—such as gold and U.S. Treasuries—tend to appreciate.

What is the best portfolio for a recession? ›

During a recession, investing in cash and cash equivalents becomes a strategic choice for investors who are hoping to preserve their capital and maintain liquidity. Cash equivalents include short-term, highly liquid assets with minimal risk, such as Treasury bills, money market funds and certificates of deposit.

What is the safest investment in a recession? ›

  1. Federal Bond Funds. Several types of bond funds are particularly popular with risk-averse investors. ...
  2. Municipal Bond Funds. Next on the list are municipal bond funds. ...
  3. Taxable Corporate Funds. ...
  4. Money Market Funds. ...
  5. Dividend Funds. ...
  6. Utilities Mutual Funds. ...
  7. Large-Cap Funds. ...
  8. Hedge and Other Funds.

What ETF to invest in during inflation? ›

Types of ETFs that can perform relatively well during periods of high inflation include TIPS ETFs, commodity ETFs, U.S. dollar ETFs and precious metals ETFs.

Which ETF has the best 10 year return? ›

Top 10 ETFs by 10-year Performance
TickerFund10-Yr Return
VGTVanguard Information Technology ETF19.60%
IYWiShares U.S. Technology ETF19.58%
IXNiShares Global Tech ETF18.20%
IGMiShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF17.95%
6 more rows

What are the best growth stocks to buy in a recession? ›

13 Recession Proof Stocks Worth Investment in 2023
  • Dollar General Corporation (NYSE: DG)
  • Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD)
  • Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG)
  • Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR)
  • UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE: UNH)
  • Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT)
  • Synopsys, Inc. (NASDAQ: SNPS)
  • Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT)

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