Asian shares decline ahead of Fed decision on interest rates (2024)

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TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly declined Wednesday as investors looked ahead to a widely expected interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve as it works to squash the highest inflation in decades.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 dipped 1.4% in morning trading to 27,308.66. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dropped 1.4% to 6,712.40. South Korea’s Kospi lost 0.9% to 2,346.62. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng shed 1.4% to 18,524.48, while the Shanghai Composite slipped 0.2% to 3,115.08.

Global tensions are adding to uncertainties. Russian-controlled regions of eastern and southern Ukraine have announced plans to start voting this week to become integral parts of Russia.

The Kremlin-backed efforts to swallow up four regions could set the stage for Moscow to escalate the war against Ukraine. Russian President Vladimir Putin recently blasted what he described as U.S. efforts to preserve its global domination and ordered officials to boost weapons production.

“Asian equities traded in a defensive mode on Wednesday. There were some geopolitical tensions concerning Russia and Ukraine, where the separatists are to hold a referendum in some regions, and traders were expecting an update from Putin,” said Anderson Alves at ActivTrades.

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 index fell 1.1% to 3,855.93, as more than 90% of stocks and every sector in the benchmark index lost ground. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1% to 30,706.23. The Nasdaq composite also fell 1%, to 11,425.05.

The selling came as traders waited to see how high the Fed will raise interest rates at its meeting that ends Wednesday.

“The market is certainly bracing for the worst and you’re seeing a little bit of selling pressure coming in,” said Paul Kim, CEO of Simplify ETFs.

Retailers, technology stocks, health care companies and banks were among the biggest weights on the market. Best Buy fell 4.1%, Microsoft slid 0.8%, Abbott Laboratories dropped 1.7% and JPMorgan Chase closed 2% lower. Exxon Mobil fell 0.8%.

Smaller company stocks fell more than the broader market. The Russell 2000 index gave up 1.4% to 1,787.50.

Bond yields mostly edged higher. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences mortgage rates, rose to 3.56% from 3.52% from late Monday and is trading at its highest levels since 2011.

The yield on the 2-year Treasury, which tends to follow expectations for Fed action, held steady at 3.95%, hovering around its highest levels since 2007.

Stocks have been slumping and Treasury yields rising as the Fed raises the cost of borrowing money in hopes of slowing down the hottest inflation in four decades.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell bluntly warned in a speech last month that the rate hikes would “bring some pain.”

“He has done everything he possibly can to signal that it’s going to be another aggressive move,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi.

The Fed is expected to raise its key short-term rate by three-quarters of a point for the third time at its meeting on Wednesday. That would lift its benchmark rate, which affects many consumer and business loans, to a range of 3% to 3.25%, the highest level in 14 years, and up from zero at the start of the year.

Beyond that, investors will be focused on what Powell has to say, both in the Fed’s latest interest rate policy statement and during an afternoon press conference, for clues as to whether the central bank remains primarily focused on lowering inflation, or if there’s a hint the Fed is giving more consideration to the impact of higher rates on the economy.

Wall Street is worried that the rate hikes could go too far in slowing economic growth and push the economy into a recession.

Ford fell 12.3% for the biggest decline in the S&P 500 after slashing its third-quarter earnings forecast because a parts shortage will leave it with as many as 45,000 vehicles unfinished on its lots when the quarter ends Sept. 30. Last week, FedEx and General Electric warned investors about damage to their operations from inflation.

The U.S. isn’t alone in suffering from hot inflation or dealing with the impact of efforts to fight high prices.

The Bank of Japan began a two-day monetary policy meeting Wednesday, although analysts expect the central bank to stick to its easy monetary policy. Rate decisions from Norway, Switzerland and the Bank of England are next.

In energy trading, U.S. benchmark crude rose 15 cents to $84.09 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It fell 1.5% Tuesday, weighing down energy stocks. Brent crude, the international standard, added 22 cents to $90.84 a barrel.

In currency trading, the U.S. dollar inched up to 143.81 Japanese yen from 143.74 yen. The euro fell to 99.64 cents from 99.73 cents.

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AP Business Writers Damian J. Troise and Alex Veiga contributed to this report.

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Yuri Kageyama is on Twitter https://twitter.com/yurikageyama

Asian shares decline ahead of Fed decision on interest rates (2024)

FAQs

Asian shares decline ahead of Fed decision on interest rates? ›

HONG KONG (AP) — Asian stocks mostly declined Wednesday as markets awaited a decision on interest rates by the Federal Reserve, while China reported manufacturing contracted in January for a fourth straight month. U.S. futures were mixed while oil prices fell back. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 0.3% to 35,975.50.

Why are Asian stocks falling? ›

(Bloomberg) -- Shares in Asia slipped Monday, tracking a fall in US equities, as markets grappled with ratcheting tensions after Iran's unprecedented attack on Israel at the weekend. Equity benchmarks in Japan, South Korea and Australia all declined while Hong Kong stock futures also fell.

Will stocks go down if Fed raises interest rates? ›

Do interest rate hikes hurt the stock market? If the Federal Reserve raises the short-term federal funds target rate it controls (as it did in 2022 and 2023), it can have a detrimental effect on stocks. A higher interest rate environment can present challenges for the economy, which may slow business activity.

What happens to the stock market when the Fed cuts interest rates? ›

Longer term, however, if the Fed cuts rates more quickly than the market is expecting, there will likely be upward pressure on stock prices. Interest rates affect the stock market in many ways, but, in general, companies are better off when they can borrow money cheaply and when consumers can spend more freely.

Why do growth stocks decline when interest rates rise? ›

Therefore, as interest rates rise, many investors believe growth stocks are less favorable because their long-term discounted cash flow is reduced and their ability to secure low-cost debt financing is more difficult.

Why stock market is falling so badly? ›

Stock market crash: Rising US dollar and Treasury yields, disappointing US retail sales data, falling Indian National Rupee (INR), and rising crude oil prices are some other reasons that have fueled the selling pressure in the Indian stock market.

Why is the stock market declining? ›

What causes a stock market crash? A market collapse can occur for several causes, such as poor economic news, other terrible news such as war or a terrorist attack, or simply a general perception that the economy is overinflated.

What stocks go up when interest rates drop? ›

Utilities stocks are defensive dividend-payers. In terms of investment dollars, they compete with bonds. Bonds become less attractive when interest rates drop. That, in turn, increases the relative appeal of utilities and their dividend payments.

What stocks do well when interest rates rise? ›

Financials First. The financial sector has historically been among the most sensitive to changes in interest rates. With profit margins that actually expand as rates climb, entities like banks, insurance companies, brokerage firms, and money managers generally benefit from higher interest rates.

What to invest in when the Fed cuts rates? ›

Fund / TickerAssets (billion)1-Yr Total Return
Dodge & Cox Income Fund / DODIX73.13.6
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF / AGG102.40.8
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF / BND105.30.8
Vanguard Int.-Term Tax-Exempt Fund / VWITX71.94.0
1 more row
Mar 20, 2024

How to profit from falling interest rates? ›

5 investing ideas for falling interest rates
  1. US stocks. Falling rates have historically been a positive for the stock market broadly—a relationship that's held true, on average, regardless of whether the economy is in a recession or not. ...
  2. Small caps. ...
  3. Cyclical stock sectors. ...
  4. Investment-grade corporate bonds. ...
  5. US Treasurys.
Mar 6, 2024

Who benefits from high interest rates? ›

Higher interest rates have gotten a bad rap, but over the long term, they may provide more income for savers and help investors allocate capital more efficiently. In a higher-rate environment, equity investors can seek opportunities in value-oriented and defensive sectors as well as international stocks.

What happens to gold when the Fed cuts rates? ›

As interest rates fall, gold becomes more appealing compared with fixed income assets such as bonds, which would yield weaker returns in a low interest rate environment.

Is it better to invest when interest rates are high or low? ›

The winners. Unsurprisingly, bond buyers, lenders, and savers all benefit from higher rates in the early days. Bond yields, in particular, typically move higher even before the Fed raises rates, and bond investors can earn more without taking on additional default risk since the economy is still going strong.

Who makes money when interest rates rise? ›

When interest rates are higher, banks make more money by taking advantage of the greater spread between the interest they pay to their customers and the profits they earn by investing. A bank can earn a full percentage point more than it pays in interest simply by lending out the money at short-term interest rates.

Is the stock market expected to go up in 2024? ›

The S&P 500 generated an impressive 26.29% total return in 2023, rebounding from an 18.11% setback in 2022. Heading into 2024, investors are optimistic the same macroeconomic tailwinds that fueled the stock market's 2023 rally will propel the S&P 500 to new all-time highs in 2024.

Why are stocks going up when interest rates are high? ›

The degree and timing of rate increases as well as investors' expectations also play a role in driving the stock market's reaction to increasing rates. The Federal Reserve typically raises rates in periods of stronger economic activity, which is when stocks are also doing well.

What happens to stocks when inflation rises? ›

How Does Inflation Affect Stocks? Inflation hurts stocks overall because consumer spending drops. Value stocks may do well because their prices haven't kept up with their peers. Growth stocks tend to be shunned by investors.

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