Africa to house 86% of the world’s poorest by 2050 (2024)

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Africa to house 86% of the world’s poorest by 2050 (1) If the trend of population growth continues, the number of poor people in the world, which is currently falling, may rise. Credit:Wikipedia

The poorest places in the world, where leading a healthy and productive life is already very tough, are making more and more babies and, in turn, creating tougher living conditions for themselves, says the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation’s second Goalkeepers report. They also fear that if the trend continues, the number of poor people in world, which is currently falling, may rise.

While more than a billion people have been pulled out of poverty in the world, this success is not everyone’s. This change came first in China and then in India. Since Asia achieved most of the success, “extreme poverty is becoming heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan African countries”.

“By 2050, that’s where 86 percent of the extremely poor people in the world are projected to live,” says the report while suggesting that for the next three decades, the world’s top priority should be reducing poverty in Africa.

A major contributor is Africa’s rising population, which is projected to double by 2050. This means that even if the percentage of poor people is reduced to half, the number would be the same.

Even within Africa, there is good news and bad news. Good is that many countries are turning a corner, like Ethiopia, which was majorly struck by famine, will be able to eliminate poverty by 2050. Bad that poverty is concentrated in a handful of African countries. “By 2050, for example, more than 40 percent of the extremely poor people in the world will live in just two countries: Democratic Republic of the Congo and Nigeria. Even within these countries, poverty is concentrated in certain areas,” says the report.

The reasons for this high concentration of poverty are rooted in violence, political instability, gender inequality, severe climate change, and other deep-seated crises. That’s not all. Other possible causes are high rates of child mortality and malnutrition.

The Gate Foundation suggests that the best way out of this is continuing to improve human condition by “creating opportunities in Africa’s fastest growing and poorest countries”.

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As an expert on global issues, particularly in the areas of population dynamics, poverty, and development, I've closely followed and analyzed the trends discussed in the article you provided. My expertise is grounded in a comprehensive understanding of demographic shifts, economic development, and the intricate factors influencing poverty levels worldwide.

The article addresses several key concepts, and I will break down each one:

  1. Population Growth: The article highlights the potential consequences of continued population growth, especially in the context of the world's poorest regions. Population growth is a critical factor in shaping the future dynamics of poverty. The Gates Foundation's report emphasizes the projection that Africa's population is expected to double by 2050, contributing significantly to the challenges associated with poverty reduction.

  2. Poverty Reduction: The article discusses the progress made in pulling over a billion people out of poverty globally. However, it emphasizes that the success is not uniform, with extreme poverty becoming concentrated in certain regions, particularly sub-Saharan African countries. This concentration is projected to increase, posing a challenge to global poverty reduction efforts.

  3. Geographical Concentration of Poverty: The Gates Foundation's report identifies specific countries, such as the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Nigeria, where a significant portion of the extremely poor population will reside by 2050. It also notes that poverty within these countries is concentrated in certain areas. This geographical concentration underscores the need for targeted interventions in specific regions to address the root causes of poverty.

  4. Factors Contributing to Poverty Concentration: The article delves into the various factors contributing to the concentration of poverty in specific areas. These factors include violence, political instability, gender inequality, severe climate change, child mortality, and malnutrition. Understanding and addressing these underlying issues are crucial for designing effective strategies to alleviate poverty.

  5. Importance of Improving Human Conditions: The Gates Foundation suggests that the key to addressing concentrated poverty is by continually improving the human condition. This involves creating opportunities in Africa's fastest-growing and poorest countries. The emphasis on human development as a pathway out of poverty aligns with broader global development goals.

In summary, the article underscores the complex interplay between population dynamics, poverty, and various socio-economic factors. Addressing these challenges requires a nuanced and multifaceted approach that considers the unique circ*mstances of different regions and populations. The Gates Foundation's insights provide a valuable roadmap for policymakers and organizations working towards sustainable global development.

Africa to house 86% of the world’s poorest by 2050 (2024)
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