Addressing America's Affordable Housing Crisis (2024)

Title:

The Gap: A Shortage of Affordable Rental Homes

Author:

Andrew Aurand, Dan Emmanuel, Emma Foley, Matt Clarke, Ikra Rafi, Diane Yentel

Source:
Publication Date:

2023

Over the past few years, the COVID-19 pandemic, record-high inflation, significant job losses, and rising rent prices have shaped the affordable housing landscape. Between 2019 and 2021, the shortage of homes affordable and available to renters with extremely low incomes worsened by more than 500,000 units, increasing from a shortage of 6.8 million to 7.3 million, and continuing a long-term trend of diminishing supply. Addressing the shortage of affordable and available housing is vital to ensuring families across the US experience financial security, improved health, educational opportunities, and greater economic mobility.

The National Low Income Housing Coalition’s latest annual report evaluates the availability of affordable rental homes, particularly for households with extremely low incomes, defined as incomes at or below either the federal poverty guideline or 30 percent of the area median income. The report uses data from the 2021 American Community Survey Public Use Microdata Sample to catalog and analyze the state of affordable housing in the US. Additionally, the report identifies local, state, and federal policies and programs that can be implemented to address the shortage of affordable homes.

Key findings
  • Renters with extremely low incomes face the biggest challenges to finding affordable housing. There are only 7 million affordable units for 11 million households with extremely low incomes, but of the 7 million, 3.3 million are occupied by households with higher incomes.
  • There is a shortage of 7.3 million affordable and available rental homes for renters with extremely low incomes in the US, up 8 percent from 6.8 million in 2019.
  • The lack of housing options for renters with extremely low incomes are driving the overall affordable housing shortage across the country. For other income groups, there are enough affordable rental units to accommodate all households, but they aren’t necessarily available.
  • Among renters with extremely low incomes, roughly 2.6 million reside in homes affordable to households with very low incomes, 3.5 million are in homes affordable to households with low incomes, and 1.3 million reside in homes affordable to households with middle and higher incomes.
  • Households with extremely low incomes disproportionately experience severe housing cost burdens, meaning they spend more than 50 percent of their income on housing.
  • The shortage of affordable rental units disproportionately affects Black, Latinx, and Indigenous households who are more likely than white households to be renters and have extremely low incomes. Nineteen percent of Black renter households, 17 percent of American Indian or Alaska Native renter households, and 14 percent of renter Latino households have extremely low incomes, compared with only 6 percent of white households.
  • Though renters across the country feel the affordable housing shortage, renters with extremely low incomes face the most severe shortages in Nevada, Oregon, Florida, California, Arizona, and Texas.
  • In all 50 of the largest metropolitan areas, more than 60 percent of renters with extremely low incomes are severely cost burdened.
Policy implications
  • The authors of this report emphasize the need for large-scale, long-term policy solutions to address the growing housing needs for renters with the lowest incomes.
  • State and local governments can leverage land-use and zoning reform policies to encourage the development of more affordable housing.
  • Though local efforts are extremely important, the authors stress their limited ability to create and preserve affordable housing at a sufficient scale.
  • Significant, lasting investments from the federal government are vital in addressing the shortage of affordable housing units. The authors recommend increasing funding in affordable housing programs, such as the national Housing Trust Fund, to spur the development of more affordable housing units.
  • The authors suggest increasing investments in the Housing Choice Voucher Program or a renters’ tax credit to help address the shortage of affordable and available units for renters with extremely low incomes.
  • In the short term, policymakers can consider establishing a permanent version of the COVID-era Emergency Rental Assistance Program to prevent evictions and homelessness for renters with low incomes.
  • The authors also recommend expanding federal renter protections, such as prohibiting discrimination based on source of income, which would address power imbalances between renters and landlords and help prevent housing instability.
Addressing America's Affordable Housing Crisis (2024)

FAQs

How should the US handle the problem of affordable housing? ›

Solving the Affordable Housing Crisis Must Include Subsidizing Rent Costs Link to this section
  1. Reducing the shortage of deeply affordable rental housing. ...
  2. Prevent the loss of existing affordable housing. ...
  3. Remove barriers to homeownership. ...
  4. Reform existing public and multifamily housing.
Jul 21, 2022

Does the US have a housing crisis? ›

As a result, there is a sizable shortage of new homes after more than a decade of under-building relative to population growth, according to a new analysis from Realtor.com released Wednesday. The gap between single-family home constructions and household formations grew to 6.5 million homes between 2012 and 2022.

Why is housing so unaffordable in the US? ›

Strained affordability has seen many homebuilders turn to smaller units. The Pandemic Housing Boom, which pushed national home prices up over 40%, coupled with last year's mortgage rate shock, has resulted in a deterioration of housing affordability.

Does America have an affordable housing shortage? ›

National Shortage of Affordable Rental Housing. The U.S. has a shortage of 7.3 million rental homes affordable and available to renters with extremely low incomes – that is, incomes at or below either the federal poverty guideline or 30% of their area median income, whichever is greater.

How is affordable housing funded in the US? ›

Construction subsidies, most often in the form of a federal program called the Low Income Housing Tax Credit. It is the primary source of funding for increasing and preserving supply of affordable rental homes., are the most common. Others include mortgages with below-market interest rates, tax-exempt bond.

How did Obama's plan solve the housing crisis? ›

Passing Wall Street reform and establishing the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau: President Obama signed into law Wall Street Reform that reins in big banks and mortgage lenders by preventing the excessive risk-taking that lead to the housing crisis, requiring lenders to verify that borrowers have the ability to ...

Who is responsible for the housing crisis? ›

The Biggest Culprit: The Lenders

Most of the blame is on the mortgage originators or the lenders.

What is the main cause of the housing crisis? ›

About 20 percent labor under “severe cost burden,” that is, the 50 percent threshold, according to the California Budget and Policy Center. The direct cause of the housing crisis is a shortage of affordable housing.

What state has the worst housing shortage? ›

Story at a glance

California currently has the largest deficit of homes at 980,000.

When was the last housing crisis in the United States? ›

The United States subprime mortgage crisis was a multinational financial crisis that occurred between 2007 and 2010 that contributed to the 2007–2008 global financial crisis. The crisis led to a severe economic recession, with millions of people losing their jobs and many businesses going bankrupt.

Where is biggest housing shortage in US? ›

The 10 Markets With the Greatest Need for New Housing
RankMarketNew Units Needed/Year
1New York City10,000
2Dallas – Fort Worth19,000
3Houston15,000
4Los Angeles6,000
6 more rows
Feb 24, 2023

Which city has the most unaffordable housing? ›

All the cities on this graphic are classified as severely unaffordable⁠—and, for the 12th year in a row, Hong Kong takes the top spot as the world's most unaffordable housing market, with a score of 23.2.

Will 2025 be a good year to buy a home? ›

After falling in 2023 and 2024, home prices are predicted to plateau in 2025 before rising again at just above the rate of inflation. However, due to the spike in home values from 2020 through 2022 due to record-low mortgage rates, median sales prices will take at least until 2027 to regain the highs of mid-2022.

What is the real reason housing is so expensive? ›

Housing in California is expensive due to high demand and low supply. With strong demand from millennials and retirees drawn to California's warm climate, the limited supply of housing has driven up property values.

Which US city is the No 1 most affordable housing market? ›

Most Affordable Cities for Home Buyers
Overall Rank*CityTotal Score
1Montgomery, AL71.37
2Flint, MI71.35
3Toledo, OH70.97
4Detroit, MI70.91
26 more rows
May 23, 2023

What state has the most affordable housing right now? ›

Cheapest States To Buy A House
RankStateQ4 2021 All-Transactions House Price Index
1Tennessee310.42
2Illinois280.26
3Oklahoma407.56
4Ohio543.83
16 more rows
May 1, 2023

What city in the US has the most affordable housing? ›

Here's a look at the most affordable major cities in the country for housing.
  • Kansas City, Missouri.
  • Albuquerque, New Mexico.
  • Louisville, Kentucky.
  • Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
  • Indianapolis, Indiana.
  • Tucson, Arizona.
Jan 12, 2023

What is the federal government's role in affordable housing? ›

To support affordable rental housing, federal agencies administer more than a dozen different programs that provide rental assistance payments, grants, loan guarantees, and tax incentives—such as the Department of Housing and Urban Development's (HUD) Housing Choice Voucher.

How much does the US government spend on affordable housing? ›

From 1977 to 2020, in 2020 inflation-adjusted dollars, state and local government spending on housing and community development programs increased from $14 billion to $59 billion, an increase of 309 percent.

What percentage of US housing is subsidized? ›

Nationwide, direct government subsidies cover less than 4 percent of America's housing stock in contrast to 15 percent to 40 percent in Western Europe.

Who was president during housing market crash? ›

Concerns about the impact of the collapsing housing and credit markets on the larger U.S. economy caused President George W. Bush and the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke to announce a limited bailout of the U.S. housing market for homeowners who were unable to pay their mortgage debts.

How did the 2008 housing crisis end? ›

1 By October 2008, Congress approved a $700 billion bank bailout, now known as the Troubled Asset Relief Program. 2 By February 2009, Obama proposed the $787 billion economic stimulus package, which helped avert a global depression.

How was the 2008 housing crisis resolved? ›

In September 2008, Congress approved the “Bailout Bill,” which provided $700 billion to add emergency liquidity to the markets. Through the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) passed in October 2008, the U.S. Treasury added billions more to stabilize financial markets—including buying equity in banks.

What does the government do for the housing crisis? ›

The role of the public sector can vary in these efforts depending on the situation, but often include infrastructure improvements, assistance with brownfield assessments and clean-up, incentives such as tax-increment financing, redevelopment planning/visioning, and other actions.

Who controls housing in America? ›

The Department of Housing and Urban Development is the Federal agency responsible for national policy and programs that address America's housing needs, that improve and develop the Nation's communities, and enforce fair housing laws.

Who is most affected by the housing crisis? ›

Low-Income Households Are Particularly Affected by Unaffordable Housing. Households with the lowest incomes are by far the most likely to have housing costs that are unaffordable.

What does it mean if a homeowner is underwater? ›

What Does Underwater Mortgage Mean? An underwater mortgage, sometimes called an upside-down mortgage, is a home loan with a higher principal than the home is worth. This happens when property values fall but you still need to repay the original balance of your loan.

How much did house prices drop in the recession 2008? ›

Prices fell by a record 9.5% in 2008, to $197,100, compared to $217,900 in 2007. In comparison, median home prices dipped a mere 1.6% between 2006 and 2007. Distressed properties, the foreclosures and short sales that have flooded the market, accounted for 45% of all deals.

How did the housing crisis affect the economy? ›

A study by the well-respected McKinsey Global Institute found that due to the state's housing shortage, California's economy loses over $140 billion per year in economic output.

What are the 3 states most at risk of a housing downturn? ›

California, Illinois, New Jersey, and Delaware are home to the most at-risk housing markets, according to a Special Housing Risk report released by real estate data firm ATTOM. “Some parts of the country remain considerably more exposed to housing market declines than others,” says Rob Barber, CEO of ATTOM.

What state had the least affordable housing? ›

Hawaii and California are the LEAST affordable places to live in the U.S as incomes fail to keep up with soaring property prices.

Will house prices go down in 2023 usa? ›

Although home prices are expected to improve in the second half of the year, the California median home price is projected to decrease by 5.6 percent to $776,600 in 2023, down from the median price of $822,300 recorded in 2022.

Will the housing bubble burst in 2023? ›

Demand for homes remains high, and there are fewer home sellers than there were in 2022. And while the market is cooling, experts don't expect an actual housing crash or a housing bubble burst in 2023. Will there be a housing market crash in 2023? It's highly unlikely that the housing market will crash in 2023.

Will 2023 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Homebuyer.com data analysis indicates that, for first-time home buyers, June 2023 is a good time to buy a house relative to later in the year. This article provides an unbiased look at current mortgage rates, housing market conditions, and market sentiment.

What state has the highest housing market right now? ›

No. 1 most expensive state to buy a house in 2022: Hawaii
  • Median home price: $615,300.
  • Median household income: $99,800.
  • Estimated monthly mortgage payment: $2,923.36.
  • Percentage income to PMT: 35.15%
Sep 20, 2022

Where is the slowest real estate market? ›

Flint, MI

Which cities have highest risk of housing bubble burst? ›

In the U.S., Miami was the city with the highest risk of a housing bubble and reported the highest house prices and rental growth of all the cities in the study. For the rest of the country, the Magic City was followed by Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston, and New York.

What is the world's last affordable city in the US? ›

This may be the world's last 'affordable' city for home buyers — and how the Bay Area compares. May 5, 2022 Updated: May 8, 2022 4:23 p.m. Pittsburgh is classified as affordable because of its much lower home prices than the Bay Area's.

What is the least affordable country to live in? ›

Housing Market

According to the 2023 International Housing Affordability Survey by Demographia, three out of the 10 least affordable housing markets are in Australia and New Zealand, two are in Canada and four more are located in the United States. The least affordable housing market is Hong Kong.

What is the least affordable city in the US? ›

Top 10 Least Affordable Cities for Home Buyers
  • Santa Monica, California.
  • Glendale, California.
  • Burbank, California.
  • Los Angeles, California.
  • Boulder, Colorado.
  • Pasadena, California.
  • New York, New York.
  • San Francisco, California.
May 24, 2023

Will house prices go down in 2024 usa? ›

BENGALURU, May 31 (Reuters) - U.S. home prices will decline less than previously expected this year before stagnating in 2024, despite widespread expectations interest rates will remain higher for longer, according to property analysts polled by Reuters.

How did owning a home become unaffordable? ›

The Federal Reserve's monthslong battle with soaring inflation has helped push mortgage rates skyward, thus increasing borrowing costs for buyers. Also, demand for homes soared in 2022 and builders couldn't keep up with the pace, driving prices for existing homes even higher.

Will Gen Z be able to afford houses? ›

Of Gen Zers currently saving money, 56.2% are saving for their first home. The majority of Gen Z (79.8%) believe they can only afford a home that costs less than $200,000. Only 6.9% of Gen Zers believe they can afford a home over $500,000 in their desired timeframe.

Why are houses in Texas so cheap? ›

No Income Tax in Texas

The lack of an income tax in the state also reduces the costs of Texas housing. The constitution in Texas does not allow payment of an income tax. The state relies on a high sales tax and higher property taxes instead.

Where are houses the cheapest in the US? ›

10 Cheapest Housing Markets to Buy a House in the US
  • West Virginia. With a Zillow Home Value Index of $146,578, West Virginia is the most affordable state to buy a house in the US. ...
  • Mississippi. ...
  • Arkansas. ...
  • Louisiana. ...
  • Oklahoma. ...
  • Kentucky. ...
  • Iowa. ...
  • Ohio.
May 30, 2023

Who are most affected by affordable housing? ›

About six-in-ten U.S. adults living in urban areas (63%) say that the availability of affordable housing in their community is a major problem, compared with 46% of suburban residents and 40% of those living in rural areas.

How can we increase housing supply? ›

Here are five ways that builders are trying to boost the supply of housing.
  1. Convert unused malls and offices to residential. ...
  2. Build more 'missing middle' housing. ...
  3. Allow more granny flats. ...
  4. Expand manufactured housing. ...
  5. Embrace micro-apartments.
May 17, 2022

How global is the affordable housing crisis? ›

More than 1.8 billion people around the world do not have adequate housing, an estimated 15 million people are forcibly evicted every year, and 150 million more are living in homelessness.

What state has the most unaffordable housing? ›

According to worldpopulationreview.com, Hawaii is the most expensive state to live in, with its housing costing three times the national average. New York and California rank as the second and third most expensive states in which to live, respectively.

What states has the most affordable housing? ›

Cheapest States To Buy A House
RankStateQ4 2021 Measure Of Movement Of Single-Family House Prices
1Tennessee297.21
2Illinois305.98
3Oklahoma305.55
4Ohio227.64
16 more rows
May 1, 2023

What is the future of housing in the US? ›

After falling in 2023 and 2024, home prices are predicted to plateau in 2025 before rising again at just above the rate of inflation. However, due to the spike in home values from 2020 through 2022 due to record-low mortgage rates, median sales prices will take at least until 2027 to regain the highs of mid-2022.

How many Americans live in affordable housing? ›

Over 10.9 million of the nation's 43.7 million renter households have extremely low incomes. Only 7.3 million rental homes are affordable to extremely low-income renters, assuming households should spend no more than 30% of their incomes on housing.

What caused the housing crisis? ›

In 2008, the housing market bubble burst when subprime mortgages, a huge consumer debt load, and crashing home values converged. Homeowners began defaulting on the home loans.

What are the regulatory barriers to affordable housing? ›

Land use policies and zoning regulations constrain the supply of affordable housing. Density limits, height restrictions, parking requirements, lengthy permitting and approval processes, and community opposition all contribute to increased housing prices.

Where are the biggest housing shortages? ›

The 10 Markets With the Greatest Need for New Housing
RankMarketNew Units Needed/Year
1New York City10,000
2Dallas – Fort Worth19,000
3Houston15,000
4Los Angeles6,000
6 more rows
Feb 24, 2023

Does California require affordable housing? ›

A majority of the units must be Below Market Rate units affordable to lower- or moderate-income households, and at least 30 percent of the units must be affordable to lower-income households.

Will a recession make housing affordable? ›

Key takeaways

Mortgage rates typically drop during a traditional recession. Home prices can drop as well, with fewer qualified buyers and less competition for homes.

Where is the most unaffordable housing in the country? ›

Full Data Set
RankCountyMedian Home Price
1Ada County, Idaho$452,219
2Collier County, Florida$435,313
3Travis County, Texas$456,690
4Williamson County, Texas$378,412
9 more rows
May 1, 2023

Which country has free housing? ›

Finland Solves Its Homelessness by Providing Apartments for Anyone Who Needs One.

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