A closer look at Virgin Galactic Valuation | SPCE - Macroaxis (2024)

SPCEStockUSD2.600.135.26%

The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 960.9M, whereas Free Cash Flow is forecasted to decline to (407.2M). Virgin Galactic Holdings has a current Real Value of $2.28 per share. The regular price of the company is $2.6. Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be overvalued. Our model measures the value of Virgin Galactic Holdings from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Owned By Insiders of 8.36%, current valuation of 533.89M, and Return On Equity of -0.91 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend purchasing undervalued stocks and exiting overvalued stocks since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.

Virgin Galactic Valuation Module provides a unique way to ballpark how much the company is worth today. It is done using both, our quantitative analysis of the company fundamentals as well as its intrinsic market price estimation to project the real value. We also take into consideration other essential factors such as Virgin Galactic's management style, its c-level domain expertise and tenure, its overall leadership history as well as current capital structure, and future earnings potential.

Overvalued

Please note that Virgin Galactic's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Virgin Galactic Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Virgin Galactic's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.

Our valuation method for Virgin Galactic Holdings is useful when determining the fair value of the Virgin stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Virgin Galactic. Since Virgin Galactic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Virgin Stock. However, Virgin Galactic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.

2.28

Real Value

8.84

Upside

Estimating the potential upside or downside of Virgin Galactic Holdings helps investors to forecast how Virgin stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Virgin Galactic more accurately as focusing exclusively on Virgin Galactic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:

EarningsEstimates (4)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.33-0.3-0.26

Details

HypePrediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.609.16

Details

NaiveForecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.062.789.35

Details

9 AnalystsConsensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1.002.625.00

Details

Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Virgin Galactic's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Virgin Galactic's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Virgin Galactic's closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Virgin Galactic Holdings, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Virgin Valuation Drivers Correlation

Many accounts on the financial statements of Virgin Galactic Holdings are highly interrelated and sometimes correlated. Consequently, when conducting Virgin's valuation analysis, one should examine all of the accounts reported to obtain a complete picture of its financial situation. We provide a unique feature to present a conventional correlation table purposely composed against different valuation-related drivers of Virgin

Click cells to compare fundamentals

Virgin Valuation Trend

Knowing Virgin Galactic's actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Virgin Galactic's real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Virgin Galactic's financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Virgin Galactic's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Virgin Market Cap

Virgin Galactic Holdings is rated below average in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Industrials industry is at this time estimated at about 225.18 Billion. Virgin Galactic adds roughly 1.04 Billion in market capitalization claiming only tiny portion of equities under Industrials industry.

Virgin Galactic Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Virgin Galactic's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Virgin Galactic value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Virgin Galactic competition to find correlations between indicators driving Virgin Galactic's intrinsic value. More Info.

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Book Value Per Share

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Target Price

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Retained Earnings

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Return On Equity

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Number Of Shares Shorted

Price To Book

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EBITDA

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Cash Per Share

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Earnings Per Share

Price To Earnings To Growth

Target Price

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Virgin Galactic Holdings is rated fifth in beta category among related companies. It is currently regarded as top stock in price to sales category among related companies fabricating about 109.85 of Price To Sales per Beta. The current year's Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 407.75. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Virgin Galactic by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Virgin Galactic's Stock . Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circ*mstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Virgin Galactic's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Virgin Galactic's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Virgin Galactic and how it compares across the competition.

About Virgin Galactic Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Virgin Galactic Holdings on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Virgin Galactic Holdings. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Virgin Galactic Holdings based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Virgin Galactic's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Virgin Galactic's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Virgin Galactic. We calculate exposure to Virgin Galactic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Virgin Galactic's related companies.

Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Gross Profit406K416.7K
Profit Margin(65.43)(70.59)

8 Steps to conduct Virgin Galactic's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Virgin Galactic's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Virgin Galactic's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:

  • Gather financial information: Obtain Virgin Galactic's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Virgin Galactic's revenue streams: Identify Virgin Galactic's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Virgin Galactic's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Virgin Galactic's growth potential: Evaluate Virgin Galactic's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Virgin Galactic's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the company's specific circ*mstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Virgin Galactic's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.

Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Virgin Galactic Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Virgin Galactic does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.

Common Stock Shares Outstanding263.9M

Virgin Galactic Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Virgin Galactic Holdings and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Virgin we look at many different elements of the entity such as Virgin's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Virgin Galactic's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Virgin Galactic's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.

Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Virgin Galactic, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Virgin Galactic's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Virgin Galactic's worth.

When determining whether Virgin Galactic Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Virgin Galactic's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Virgin Galactic's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Virgin Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Virgin Galactic Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Note that the Virgin Galactic Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Virgin Galactic's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for Virgin Stock analysis

When running Virgin Galactic's price analysis, check to measure Virgin Galactic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virgin Galactic is operating at the current time. Most of Virgin Galactic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virgin Galactic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virgin Galactic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Virgin Galactic's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virgin Galactic. If investors know Virgin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virgin Galactic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Virgin Galactic Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virgin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virgin Galactic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virgin Galactic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virgin Galactic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virgin Galactic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Virgin Galactic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virgin Galactic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virgin Galactic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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As an expert in financial analysis and valuation, I bring a wealth of knowledge and experience to dissect and interpret the information provided in the article about Virgin Galactic Holdings. My expertise includes a deep understanding of financial metrics, valuation methodologies, and market dynamics.

Firstly, let's delve into the key concepts and information presented in the article:

  1. Enterprise Value (EV): The article mentions that the current year's Enterprise Value for Virgin Galactic Holdings is expected to grow to about $960.9 million. Enterprise Value is a comprehensive measure of a company's total value, taking into account its market capitalization, debt, and cash.

  2. Free Cash Flow (FCF): The forecast indicates that Virgin Galactic's Free Cash Flow is expected to decline to ($407.2 million). Free Cash Flow is a critical metric representing the cash generated by the company after accounting for capital expenditures. A negative FCF may indicate financial challenges.

  3. Real Value: The article states that Virgin Galactic Holdings has a current Real Value of $2.28 per share, while the regular price is $2.6. The company appears to be overvalued based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, which considers factors such as Shares Owned By Insiders, current valuation, and Return On Equity.

  4. Valuation Drivers: The valuation model considers various drivers, including technical indicators, probability of bankruptcy, and management-related factors. It recommends purchasing undervalued stocks and exiting overvalued stocks based on the expectation that asset prices will eventually converge with their real values.

  5. Valuation Matrix: The article introduces a Valuation Matrix that helps investors determine the fair value of Virgin Galactic stock. It emphasizes the importance of considering both intrinsic value and market price, providing a unique way to estimate the company's worth.

  6. Valuation Trend: Analyzing Virgin Galactic's actual value over time is crucial for making investment decisions. The article suggests that using both enterprise value and market capitalization is the best way to gauge the company's value and make market timing decisions.

  7. Upside and Downside Estimation: The article provides estimates of the potential upside and downside of Virgin Galactic Holdings. This information assists investors in forecasting how adding the stock to their portfolios might impact overall performance.

  8. Valuation Drivers Correlation: A correlation table is presented, showing how various accounts on the financial statements of Virgin Galactic Holdings are correlated. This helps provide a complete picture of the company's financial situation.

  9. Comparative Valuation: Comparative valuation techniques are discussed, including using multiples such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), and Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratios. The article suggests that the comparable model can be used to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

  10. Growth Indicators: The article touches on growth stocks and the importance of evaluating a company's growth potential. Virgin Galactic's growth indicators, such as Common Stock Shares Outstanding, are highlighted.

  11. Current Valuation Indicators: Key valuation indicators like Book Value per Share, Enterprise Value over EBITDA, and Price to Book Value are discussed. These indicators play a role in assessing the current market value of Virgin Galactic.

  12. Valuation Analysis Steps: The article outlines eight steps to conduct Virgin Galactic's valuation analysis. These steps include gathering financial information, determining revenue streams, analyzing market data, and choosing appropriate valuation methods.

  13. Growth Indicators: The article emphasizes the significance of growth indicators for companies like Virgin Galactic. It notes that growth stocks may not pay dividends but can be attractive if the company continues to grow.

  14. Altman Z Score: The Altman Z Score, Piotroski F Score, and Beneish M Score are mentioned as financial analysis tools that investors can use to assess a company's financial health and potential risks.

  15. Earnings Projections: The importance of considering earnings projections in the valuation analysis is highlighted. Analysts' consensus on the target price is provided as part of the information.

In conclusion, the provided article offers a comprehensive overview of Virgin Galactic Holdings, covering various aspects of its financials, valuation, and growth potential. Investors can use this information to make informed decisions based on their risk tolerance and investment objectives.

A closer look at Virgin Galactic Valuation | SPCE - Macroaxis (2024)
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