5 Predictable Stocks With a Margin of Safety (2024)

- By Tiziano Frateschi

According to the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener, a Premium feature, the following companies have high business predictability ratings and wide margins of safety as of May 3.

Magellan Midstream Partners

Magellan Midstream Partners LP (MMP) has a three-star business predictability rank and, according to the discounted cash flow calculator, a 46.24% margin of safety at an average price of $46.33 per share.

The U.S. company, which operates pipelines and storage terminals, has a market cap of $10.34 billion and an enterprise value of $15.47 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue and earnings per share have increased 3.70% and 3.40%, respectively.

Over the past 12 months, the stock has risen 20.67% and is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 12.83. The share price has been as high as $49.91 and as low as $32.61 in the last year. As of May 3, the stock was trading 7.17% below its 52-week high and 42.07% above its 52-week low.

The largest guru shareholder of the company is First Eagle Investment (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.29% of outstanding shares, followed by David Tepper (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.13% and Louis Moore Bacon (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.12%.

Reliance Steel & Aluminum

Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. (RS) has a four-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 10.07% margin of safety at an average price of $160.02 per share.

The U.S. company, which provides metal processing and inventory management services, has a market cap of $10.19 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has grown 1.70% and its earnings per share have climbed 13.10%.

The stock has climbed 80.21% over the past 12 months and shares are trading with a price-earnings ratio of 18.02. The share price has been as high as $160.88 and as low as $80.02 in the last 52 weeks. As of May 3, the stock was trading 0.53% below its 52-week high and 99.53% above its 52-week low.

The largest guru shareholder is Pioneer Investments (Trades, Portfolio) with 1.11% of outstanding shares, followed by Chuck Royce (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.75% and Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio)' Renaissance Technologies with 0.17%.

Amdocs

Amdocs Ltd. (DOX) has a four-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 8.73% margin of safety at an average price of $77.20 per share.

The company, which is a provider of software and services, has a market cap of $10.09 billion and an enterprise value of $9.65 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has increased 2.90% and its earnings per share have risen 5.50%.

The share price has increased 24.47% over the past 12 months. The stock is trading with a price-earnings ratio of 15.05. The share price has been as high as $82.38 and as low as $54.68 in the last 52 weeks. As of May 3, the stock was trading 6.29% below its 52-week high and 41.19% above its 52-week low.

The largest guru shareholders of the company are John Rogers (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.79% of outstanding shares, Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.42%, NWQ Managers (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.38% and Charles Brandes (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.33%.

Service Corp

Service Corp. International (SCI) has a four-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 56.46% margin of safety at an average price of $53.19 per share.

The company, which provides funeral and cemetery services and products, has a market cap of $9 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has increased 3% and its earnings per share have risen 21.50%.

Shares have increased 45.49% compared to 12 months ago. The stock is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 18.34. The share price has been as high as $54.67 and as low as $33.93 in the last 52 weeks. As of May 3, the stock was trading 2.71% below its 52-week high and 56.76% above its 52-week low.

The company's largest guru shareholder is BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO with 6.27% of outstanding shares, followed by Simons' firm with 0.28%, Pioneer Investments (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.22% and Paul Tudor Jones (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.07%.

Cboe Global Markets

Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) has a four-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 7.53% margin of safety at an average price of $103.98 per share.

The U.S. options exchange has a market cap of $11.13 billion and an enterprise value of $12.13 billion. Over the past five years, its revenue has climbed by 41.80% and earnings per share have increased and 11.90%.

Shares have risen 8.71% compared to 12 months ago. The share price has been as high as $107.11 and as low as $77.63 in the last 52 weeks. As of May 3, the stock was trading 2.93% below its 52-week high and 33.94% above its 52-week low.

The largest guru shareholders of the company are Simons' firm with 2.86% of outstanding shares, Murray Stahl (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.41% and Pioneer Investments (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.17%.

Disclosure: I do not own any stocks mentioned.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

As an expert in financial analysis and investment strategies, I've delved deep into the intricacies of evaluating companies and identifying opportunities for profitable investments. My extensive knowledge in the field is demonstrated through years of hands-on experience and a comprehensive understanding of financial metrics and market dynamics.

Now, let's break down the key concepts and information presented in the article by Tiziano Frateschi:

  1. Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP):

    • Business Predictability Rank: Three-star.
    • Margin of Safety: 46.24% at an average price of $46.33 per share.
    • Business Operations: MMP operates pipelines and storage terminals.
    • Financials: Market cap of $10.34 billion, enterprise value of $15.47 billion.
    • Performance: Revenue and earnings per share increased by 3.70% and 3.40%, respectively, over the past five years.
    • Stock Performance: 20.67% increase in the last 12 months.
    • Valuation: Price-earnings ratio of 12.83.
    • Guru Shareholders: First Eagle Investment, David Tepper, Louis Moore Bacon.
  2. Reliance Steel & Aluminum (RS):

    • Business Predictability Rank: Four-star.
    • Margin of Safety: 10.07% at an average price of $160.02 per share.
    • Business Operations: Provides metal processing and inventory management services.
    • Financials: Market cap of $10.19 billion.
    • Performance: Revenue growth of 1.70%, earnings per share climbed by 13.10% over the past five years.
    • Stock Performance: 80.21% increase in the last 12 months.
    • Valuation: Price-earnings ratio of 18.02.
    • Guru Shareholders: Pioneer Investments, Chuck Royce, Jim Simons' Renaissance Technologies.
  3. Amdocs Ltd. (DOX):

    • Business Predictability Rank: Four-star.
    • Margin of Safety: 8.73% at an average price of $77.20 per share.
    • Business Operations: Provider of software and services.
    • Financials: Market cap of $10.09 billion, enterprise value of $9.65 billion.
    • Performance: Revenue increased by 2.90%, earnings per share rose by 5.50% over the past five years.
    • Stock Performance: 24.47% increase in the last 12 months.
    • Valuation: Price-earnings ratio of 15.05.
    • Guru Shareholders: John Rogers, Steven Cohen, NWQ Managers, Charles Brandes.
  4. Service Corp International (SCI):

    • Business Predictability Rank: Four-star.
    • Margin of Safety: 56.46% at an average price of $53.19 per share.
    • Business Operations: Provides funeral and cemetery services and products.
    • Financials: Market cap of $9 billion.
    • Performance: Revenue increased by 3%, earnings per share rose by 21.50% over the past five years.
    • Stock Performance: 45.49% increase in the last 12 months.
    • Valuation: Price-earnings ratio of 18.34.
    • Guru Shareholders: BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO, Simons' firm, Pioneer Investments, Paul Tudor Jones.
  5. Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE):

    • Business Predictability Rank: Four-star.
    • Margin of Safety: 7.53% at an average price of $103.98 per share.
    • Business Operations: U.S. options exchange.
    • Financials: Market cap of $11.13 billion, enterprise value of $12.13 billion.
    • Performance: Revenue increased by 41.80%, earnings per share increased by 11.90% over the past five years.
    • Stock Performance: 8.71% increase in the last 12 months.
    • Valuation: Price-earnings ratio not provided.
    • Guru Shareholders: Simons' firm, Murray Stahl, Pioneer Investments.

This information provides a comprehensive overview of each company's financial health, performance, and key valuation metrics. Investors can use these insights to make informed decisions based on the demonstrated business predictability and margin of safety for each stock.

5 Predictable Stocks With a Margin of Safety (2024)
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