2023 Economic Outlook Shows Franchise Job and Unit Growth Trends Ahead of Pre-Pandemic Levels (2024)

New IFA report shows franchises to add 254,000 jobs, 15,000 new independent businesses this year, despite economic headwinds

WASHINGTON, March 28, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- The International Franchise Association (IFA) today released its 2023 Franchising Economic Outlook report, showing that franchise unit and job growth continues to outpace pre-pandemic levels, delivering jobs and business ownership opportunities across the United States, despite economic uncertainty across all industries and in daily life. The report highlights the impacts of today's unique economic challenges, which have affected system growth and led to an increase in wages, among other factors.

"Even with today's economic headwinds, franchised businesses continue to grow, providing more good-paying jobs for their employees, and serving their local communities," said IFA President and CEO Matt Haller. "After an historic year of growth during the post-pandemic recovery, the size of the franchise economy in 2023 will exceed pre-pandemic levels – demonstrating the power of the business model for prospective business owners when franchisors and franchisees work together."

The full report is available here.

Key highlights from the report include:

  • The overall number of franchise establishments will increase by almost 15,000 units in 2023, or 1.9%, to 805,000 units in the U.S.
  • Franchising will add approximately 254,000 jobs in 2023. Growing at 3.0%, total franchise employment is forecasted to reach 8.7 million.
  • The total output of franchised businesses — the measure of total economic activity in nominal dollars — will increase by 4.2% to $860.1 billion in 2023, up from $825.4 billion in 2022.
  • Franchises' GDP share of the overall economy will remain stable at 3%. Compared with 2022, franchises' GDP — the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within U.S. borders — will grow at a slightly slower pace of 4.2% to $521.3 billion.
  • Service-based industries and quick-service restaurants will witness higher growth than other industries.

On the state and regional level, the report shows that states have experienced different rates of franchise business growth due to disparities in business climates, migration trends, the labor market, and major industry investments. On the state level, it is predicted that:

  • States in the Southeast and Southwest will experience the fastest franchise business growth in 2023.
  • The top 10 states for franchise growth in 2023 are projected to be: Texas, Illinois, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, Arizona, Colorado, and Indiana.
  • The Southeast region, which has the largest franchise concentration in the U.S., will have an estimated 234,079 total establishments by 2023, employing 2.5 million workers and contributing $250 billion in output to the U.S. economy.

For a state-by-state analysis or to download your state's data, go here.

"In spite of all the challenges, the cooperative nature of franchise businesses helped better insulate franchise owners from macro-economic uncertainty," said Darrell Johnson, CEO of FRANdata. "Our team produced insight-driven forecasts leveraging our understanding of the franchise market and industry forces."

Conducted by FRANdata, the 2023 Franchising Economic Outlook is IFA's annual study detailing the franchise sector's performance for the past year and projected economic outlook for the year ahead, as well as an in-depth state outlook for all 50 states and Washington, D.C.

According toOxford Economics, franchises pay nearly 3 percent higher wages than similar independent companies and offer greater benefits and more generous leave. Franchising creates unparalleled entrepreneurial opportunities for underrepresented communities, and nearly one-third of franchise business owners say they wouldn't own a business without franchising.

About the International Franchise Association:

Celebrating over 60 years of excellence, education, and advocacy, the International Franchise Association (IFA) is the world's oldest and largest organization representing franchising worldwide. IFA works through its government relations and public policy, media relations, and educational programs to protect, enhance and promote franchising and the approximately 790,492 franchise establishments that support nearly 8.4 million direct jobs, $825.4 billion of economic output for the U.S. economy, and almost 3 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). IFA members include franchise companies in over 300 different business format categories, individual franchisees, and companies that support the industry in marketing, law, technology, and business development.

CONTACT:
Katherine Knight Patterson
[emailprotected]
(202) 662-0783

SOURCE International Franchise Association

2023 Economic Outlook Shows Franchise Job and Unit Growth Trends Ahead of Pre-Pandemic Levels (2)

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2023 Economic Outlook Shows Franchise Job and Unit Growth Trends Ahead of Pre-Pandemic Levels (2024)

FAQs

2023 Economic Outlook Shows Franchise Job and Unit Growth Trends Ahead of Pre-Pandemic Levels? ›

Key highlights from the report include: The overall number of franchise establishments will increase by almost 15,000 units in 2023, or 1.9%, to 805,000 units in the U.S. Franchising will add approximately 254,000 jobs in 2023. Growing at 3.0%, total franchise employment is forecasted to reach 8.7 million.

What is the economic outlook for franchising in 2023? ›

Total franchise output will increase by 4.1%, from $858.5 billion in 2023 to $893.9 billion in 2024. Personal services and quick service restaurants (QSRs) will experience the strongest growth of any industry.

What is the outlook for the economy in 2023? ›

Description: The January 2023 World Economic Outlook Update projects that global growth will fall to 2.9 percent in 2023 but rise to 3.1 percent in 2024. The 2023 forecast is 0.2 percentage point higher than predicted in the October 2022 World Economic Outlook but below the historical average of 3.8 percent.

What is the outlook for the franchise market? ›

Growing at 3.0%, total franchise employment is forecasted to reach 8.9 million. The total output of franchised businesses — the measure of total economic activity in nominal dollars — will increase by 4.1% to $893.9 billion in 2024, up from $858.5 billion in 2023.

What is the franchise data for 2023? ›

Key forecasts for 2023 include:

Total franchise output will increase by 4.2%, from $825.4 billion in 2022 to $860.1 billion in 2023. Compared with 2022, franchises' GDP will grow at a slightly slower pace of 4.2% to $521.3 billion. Franchises' GDP share of the overall economy will remain stable at 3%.

What is the biggest economic problem for the US economy 2023? ›

The Q4 2023 US Economic Forecast explores the state of the US economy, amid challenges like a runup in interest rates to fight inflation, federal budget policy volatility, and growing geopolitical tensions.

What is the future growth of franchising? ›

IFA Key Forecasts for 2024

The IFA report continues to make the following key forecasts: Overall Growth: franchise establishments will increase by almost 15,000 units, or 1.9% Job Growth: total franchise employment will grow by 2.6% Output Growth: total franchise output will increase by 4.1%

How does franchising affect the economy? ›

Job Creation

Franchises have a profound local impact through job creation, marking one of the primary benefits of franchising. This sector furnishes direct employment within franchise establishments and generates a ripple effect that spurs job growth in the broader economy.

What is the outlook for trade growth? ›

World trade is picking up again

And the WTO projects world merchandise (goods) trade volumes to grow 2.6% and 3.3% in 2024 and 2025, respectively, after a significant decline last year.

What is the franchising trend for 2023? ›

Having a customized service is becoming popular, and a focus on exercise is expected to increase. Another hot trend in franchising in 2023 is the introduction of contactless payment options. Many franchises are already testing these, and customers are beginning to expect a frictionless transaction.

What is the financial market outlook for 2023? ›

Our strategists expect the Fed and other central banks around the world to keep interest rates high for most of 2023, but they believe the cycle of interest rate hikes should come to an end sometime next year. Talk of a recession has been ongoing for a while, sending bonds and equities down 15% to 25% in 2022.

What is the world economic outlook data for 2023? ›

Global growth is projected to be 2.9% in 2023, and weaken to 2.7% in 2024. As inflation abates further and real incomes strengthen, the world economy is projected to grow by 3% in 2025. Global growth remains highly dependent on fast-growing Asian economies.

What is the business projection for 2023? ›

Weakening economic output, rising interest rates and international political tensions will worsen conditions for banks, insurers and fund managers in the finance industry in 2023. However, the outlook for new financial challengers, including fintech and cryptocurrency sellers, is likely to be even tougher.

What are economists saying about the economy in 2023? ›

According to a range of measures, the economy ended 2023 on a high note and has continued to be strong in 2024: Both gross domestic product (GDP) and payroll employment ended the year higher than in the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO) pre-pandemic (January 2020) projections for 2023.

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