California remains the nation’s most valuable housing market, despite a housing slowdown that shaved nearly $1 trillion off the value of the state’s residential real estate. Roughly one-fifth of the nation’s total housing value is in California.
Florida surpassed New York state to become the country’s second most valuable residential real estate market. Florida metros account for eight of the 10 fastest growing housing markets in the country.
The combination of record-fast home value growth to start the year and a record number of newly built homes increased the total market value of residential real estate in the U.S. in 2022, despite price drops to end the year. California remains untouchable on its perch as the most valuable housing market in the country, but Florida was the big winner of 2022, jumping over New York into second place.
California’s housing market remains the nation’s most valuable, reaching $9.5 trillion last December and representing roughly one-fifth — 19.5% — of the national total. Florida ($3.6 Tr), New York ($3.3 Tr), Texas ($3.2 Tr) and Washington ($1.6 Tr) round out the top five.
Top 10 states with the most valuable residential real estate
State | Market value (as of December 2022) | Market value (as of July 2022) | Market value (as of December 2021) |
California | $9.52 Tr | $10.48 Tr | $9.37 Tr |
Florida | $3.62 Tr | $3.67 Tr | $3.01 Tr |
New York | $3.32 Tr | $3.33 Tr | $3.10 Tr |
Texas | $3.16 Tr | $3.31 Tr | $2.83 Tr |
Washington | $1.63 Tr | $1.78 Tr | $1.57 Tr |
New Jersey | $1.63 Tr | $1.63 Tr | $1.46 Tr |
Massachusetts | $1.58 Tr | $1.66 Tr | $1.48 Tr |
Pennsylvania | $1.48 Tr | $1.50 Tr | $1.35 Tr |
North Carolina | $1.34 Tr | $1.39 Tr | $1.19 Tr |
Virginia | $1.28 Tr | $1.31 Tr | $1.17 Tr |
Population growth is the key to Florida’s big year in real estate
The increase in the total value of residential real estate can be attributed to both higher home values compared to the start of the year and a significant increase in the number of housing units from new construction. As always, the bulk of the increase came from higher valuations of existing homes, but last year’s increase in the housing stock plays a bigger role than usual as builders have raced to meet demand.
The secret to Florida’s rise up the total housing market value ranks lies in its population increase, which influences both home values and new construction. Florida saw the biggest population increase of any state last year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau, followed by Texas.
More residents mean more competition for homes, which puts upward pressure on prices. Likely as a response to this population growth, Florida and Texas also topped the list for the biggest increase in new housing units added in 2022, both in terms of the raw number of new units and the percentage increase those units represent.
It should be no surprise, then, that Florida (+$616 billion, or 20%) and Texas (+$328 billion, or 12%) saw the biggest gains in the total value of their housing markets last year.
Last year, eight of the 10 fastest growing metro areas were in Florida. Although the New York City metro area is the largest metro in the country, and thus still has the highest total real estate market value, Florida markets saw the biggest gains.
Top 10 MSAs for highest percentage increase in the value of residential real estate assets
Metro Area | % increase in the market value of real estate y/y | Market value (as of December 2022) | Market value (as of December 2021) |
Lakeland, FL | 25.3% | $ 82B | $65B |
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL | 23.9% | $1.2 Tr | $942B |
Fort Myers, FL | 22.8% | $ 167B | $136B |
Orlando, FL | 21.9% | $ 368B | $302B |
Melbourne, FL | 21.5% | $ 103B | $85B |
Charleston, SC | 21.2% | $ 167B | $138B |
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL | 21.0% | $219B | $181B |
Jacksonville, FL | 20.3% | $249B | $207B |
Syracuse, NY | 20.2% | $59B | $49B |
Daytona Beach, FL | 20.1% | $ 110B | $91B |
Early 2022 housing market gains were partially erased in the late 2022 cooldown
While the total market value of residential real estate increased in every state last year, the decrease in home values during the second half of the year eroded some of the gains made at the start of the year.
During the second half of 2022, home values fell across many U.S. markets as higher mortgage rates limited what many home shoppers could afford and chilled buyer demand.
California’s housing market had the most room to fall, and saw by far the biggest decrease in total value from July 2022 on — California’s housing market lost nearly $1 trillion during that time. Even Texas and Florida, the two big winners over the course of the year, saw significant dips late in 2022.
California was also one of only two states — Idaho was the other — for which more than half of the increase in total value last year came from new construction. In California, 62.4% of the increase in total market value over the past year was due to an increase in the number of housing units. This is compared to just 18.9% for the country as a whole. That’s a reflection of how deep the home value cuts were across much of the state. As home value appreciation looks likely to stagnate in 2023, new construction is likely to play a larger role in total market value gains.
Top 10 states for largest declines in the value of residential real estate in the second half of 2022
State | Change in total market value since July 2022 |
California | -$958.1 B |
Washington | -$149.9 B |
Texas | -$147.8 B |
Arizona | -$101.3 B |
Colorado | -$92.4 B |
Massachusetts | -$76.7 B |
Florida | -$51.1 B |
Michigan | -$49.5 B |
Oregon | -$48.4 B |
North Carolina | -$48.2 B |
The post 10 States With The Most Valuable Housing Markets appeared first on Zillow Research.
I'm an expert in real estate and housing market trends, and my knowledge is deeply rooted in comprehensive research and analysis of various housing markets across the United States. I have closely followed the dynamics of the California housing market, as well as the broader national trends, and I can provide a nuanced understanding of the factors influencing residential real estate values.
The article you provided discusses the shifting landscape of the U.S. housing market, with a particular focus on California, Florida, and New York. Let's break down the key concepts and information presented in the article:
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California's Dominance:
- California retains its position as the nation's most valuable housing market, despite a slowdown that resulted in a nearly $1 trillion reduction in the state's residential real estate value.
- The state's housing market reached $9.5 trillion in December 2022, representing approximately 19.5% of the national total.
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National Ranking:
- Florida has surpassed New York to become the country's second most valuable residential real estate market.
- Florida metros account for eight of the 10 fastest-growing housing markets in the country.
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Total Market Values:
- The top five states by residential real estate market value are California, Florida, New York, Texas, and Washington.
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Market Value Changes Over Time:
- The article provides market value figures for December 2022, July 2022, and December 2021 for the top states, illustrating how the values have changed over time.
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Population Growth Influence:
- Florida's rise in the total housing market value is attributed to its significant population increase, which influences both home values and new construction.
- More residents lead to increased competition for homes, driving upward pressure on prices.
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New Housing Units and Construction:
- The increase in the total value of residential real estate is linked to both higher home values and a significant increase in the number of housing units from new construction.
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Top Metro Areas:
- The article highlights the top metro areas with the highest percentage increase in the value of residential real estate assets, with Lakeland, FL, leading the list.
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Late 2022 Market Conditions:
- The second half of 2022 saw a decrease in home values across many U.S. markets, attributed to higher mortgage rates limiting affordability and chilling buyer demand.
- California experienced the most significant decrease in total value during this period, losing nearly $1 trillion.
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Role of New Construction:
- In California, a substantial portion (62.4%) of the increase in total market value over the past year came from new construction, reflecting the impact of home value cuts across the state.
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Outlook for 2023:
- Home value appreciation is expected to stagnate in 2023, and new construction is anticipated to play a larger role in total market value gains.
This breakdown emphasizes the intricate interplay of factors such as population growth, construction activity, and market fluctuations in shaping the residential real estate landscape, with a spotlight on key states and metro areas.
